Wildfires increasingly impact western US fluvial networks

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | April 30th, 2021

Wildfires are increasing globally in frequency, severity, and extent, but their impact on fluvial networks, and the resources they provide, remains unclear. We

Wildfires are increasing globally in frequency, severity, and extent, but their impact on fluvial networks, and the resources they provide, remains unclear. We combine remote sensing of burn perimeter and severity, in-situ water quality monitoring, and longitudinal modeling to create the first large-scale, long-term estimates of stream+river length impacted by wildfire for the western US. We find that wildfires directly impact ~6% of the total stream+river length between 1984 and 2014, increasing at a rate of 342 km/year. When longitudinal propagation of water quality impacts is included, we estimate that wildfires affect ~11% of the total stream+river length. Our results indicate that wildfire activity is one of the largest drivers of aquatic impairment, though it is not routinely reported by regulatory agencies, as wildfire impacts on fluvial networks remain unconstrained. We identify key actions to address this knowledge gap and better understand the growing threat to fluvial networks, water security, and public health risks.

Wildfires, Floods, and Climate Variability

University of California, San Diego (UCSD) | May 10th, 2018

The first chapter surveys fire and fuels managers at local, regional, and national levels. Survey results in the form of fire managers’ decision calendars show how clim

The first chapter surveys fire and fuels managers at local, regional, and national levels. Survey results in the form of fire managers’ decision calendars show how climate information needs vary seasonally, over space, and through the organizational network. The study identifies opportunities to use climate information in fire management, including seasonal to inter-annual climate forecasts at all organizational levels, to improve the targeting of fuels treatments and prescribed burns, the positioning and movement of initial attack resources, and staffing and budgeting decisions. The second chapter analyzes National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) data to quantify the economic impacts of flooding across the western United States from 1978 to 2007. The study compares National Flood Insurance Program data to National Weather Service measures of total damages, and presents a spatial and temporal analysis of daily claims and loss data over this period. The NFIP data reveals that a small number winter-season extreme hydrologic events, covering wide spatial areas, are responsible for a large proportion of total losses. In coastal southern California and across the southwest, El Niño conditions have had a strong effect in producing more frequent and higher magnitudes of insured losses while La Niña conditions significantly reduce both the frequency and magnitude losses. In the Pacific Northwest, the opposite pattern appears, though the effect is somewhat weaker, and less spatially coherent. The third chapter quantifies the economic impacts of flooding due to atmospheric river (AR) events in the western United States from 1978 to 2007, using NFIP claims and loss data. The study confirms that AR-related flood events cause significant economic damages and form the primary source of insurance claims and insured flood losses in the western coastal states. It provides spatial and temporal characterizations of damages as a function of integrated vapor transport (IVT) and antecedent hydrologic conditions. As the magnitude and frequency of wildfire and flood events change in response to anthropogenic climate change, and as economic and demographic contributions to vulnerability increase over time, public policy must adapt to respond. The results in these papers may be used to inform policies to mitigate losses and respond to future disaster scenarios, and may be of interest to policy makers and applied climate researchers alike.

Wildland–urban interface wildfire increases metal contributions to stormwater runoff in Paradise, California

Royal Society of Chemistry (RSC) | February 5th, 2024

Will Tidal Wetland Restoration Enhance Populations of Native Fishes?

University of California, Davis (UC Davis) | July 31st, 2003

Restoration of tidal wetlands might enhance populations of native fishes in the San Francisco Estuary of California. The purpose of this paper is to: (1) review the curre

Restoration of tidal wetlands might enhance populations of native fishes in the San Francisco Estuary of California. The purpose of this paper is to: (1) review the currently available information regarding the importance of tidal wetlands to native fishes in the San Francisco Estuary, (2) construct conceptual models on the basis of available information, (3) identify key areas of scientific uncertainty, and (4) identify methods to improve conceptual models and reduce uncertainty. There are few quantitative data to suggest that restoration of tidal wetlands will substantially increase populations of native fishes. On a qualitative basis, there is some support for the idea that tidal wetland restoration will increase populations of some native fishes; however, the species deriving the most benefit from restoration might not be of great management concern at present. Invasion of the San Francisco Estuary by alien plants and animals appears to be a major factor in obscuring the expected link between tidal wetlands and native fishes. Large-scale adaptive management experiments (>100 hectares) appear to be the best available option for determining whether tidal wetlands will provide significant benefit to native fishes. Even if these experiments are unsuccessful at increasing native fish populations, the restored wetlands should benefit native birds, plants, and other organisms.

Willingness to Pay to Protect Wetlands and Reduce Wildlife Contamination from Agricultural Drainage

Springer | December 2nd, 1991

This chapter presents the results of a survey of the general population in California regarding their willingness to pay for alternative programs to protect and expand we

This chapter presents the results of a survey of the general population in California regarding their willingness to pay for alternative programs to protect and expand wetlands as well as reduce wildlife contamination in the San Joaquin Valley (Valley). The results of 803 completed interviews from 1,573 successfully contacted households indicate that Californians would pay $154 each year in higher taxes to purchase water to prevent a decrease in wetland acreage from 85,000 acres to 27,000 acres. This value rose to $254 to provide foran increase in wetland acreage to 125,000 acres with an associated 40 percent increase of bird populations. California households would pay $313 each year in additional taxes to implement agricultural drainage programs that would reduce waterbirds exposure to contamination from 70 percent to 20 percent exposure. The water management implication of these results is that Californians value clean water supplies for refuges at over $3 billion a year.

Wind Over San Francisco Bay and the Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta: Forcing for Hydrodynamic Models.

San Francisco Estuary Institute (SFEI) | March 25th, 2019

The Ludwig wind model (Ludwig et al., 1991; Ludwig and Sinton, 2000) has been used to generate spaio-temporally varying wind inputs for hydrodynamic models of the San Fr

The Ludwig wind model (Ludwig et al., 1991; Ludwig and Sinton, 2000) has been used to generate spaio-temporally varying wind inputs for hydrodynamic models of the San Francisco Bay and Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta (SFB-Delta) in recent projects at Deltares (Achete et al., 2015), at the United States Geological Survey (USGS; Martyr-Koller et al., 2017), and at San Francisco Esturary Institute (SFEI; Nuss et al., 2018). These projects all utilize hydrodynamic models in the Deltares suite of software known as DFlow (e.g., Deltares, 2019), and the wind inputs to DFlow are specied hourly on a 1.5 km x 1.5 km grid.

Winnemem Wintu Salmon Restoration Plan for the McCloud River

Winnemem Wintu | February 1st, 2016

The National Marine Fisheries Service 2009 Biological Opinion for salmon specifically calls out for volition passage alternatives to be investigated and considered. [The

The National Marine Fisheries Service 2009 Biological Opinion for salmon specifically calls out for volition passage alternatives to be investigated and considered. [The Winnemem Wintu] have not seen any real evidence that the Pilot Project is even considering this option. Fortunately, the Winnemem Wintu Tribe has a solution to the above, a full repatriation and restoration of the Salmon to the McCloud River, their Spiritual and Cultural home. It is those Spiritual and Cultural ties and beliefs that have sustained us thus far, and will continue to sustain us as we bring our NUR (Salmon) back home. We therefore request that the following Spiritual, Cultural and Practical Fish Restoration Plan be included in the Pilot Project Plan and submitted out for public comment and consideration.

Winter melt trends portend widespread declines in snow water resources

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | April 5th, 2021

In many mountainous regions, winter precipitation accumulates as snow that melts in the spring and summer, which provides water to one billion people globally. Climate wa

In many mountainous regions, winter precipitation accumulates as snow that melts in the spring and summer, which provides water to one billion people globally. Climate warming and earlier snowmelt compromise this natural water storage. Although snowpack trend analyses commonly focus on the snow water equivalent (SWE), we propose that trends in the accumulation season snowmelt serve as a critical indicator of hydrological change. Here we compare long-term changes in the snowmelt and SWE from snow monitoring stations in western North America and find 34% of stations exhibit increasing winter snowmelt trends (P < 0.05), a factor of three larger than the 11% showing SWE declines (P < 0.05). Snowmelt trends are highly sensitive to temperature and an underlying warming signal, whereas SWE trends are more sensitive to precipitation variability. Thus, continental-scale snow water resources are in steeper decline than inferred from SWE trends alone. More winter snowmelt will complicate future water resource planning and management.

Winter wet–dry weather patterns driving atmospheric rivers and Santa Ana winds provide evidence for increasing wildfire hazard in California

Climate Dynamics (Springer) | August 12th, 2022

Floods caused by atmospheric rivers and wildfires fanned by Santa Ana winds are common occurrences in California with devastating societal impacts. In this work

Floods caused by atmospheric rivers and wildfires fanned by Santa Ana winds are common occurrences in California with devastating societal impacts. In this work, we show that winter weather variability in California, including the occurrence of extreme and impactful events, is linked to four atmospheric circulation regimes over the North Pacific Ocean previously named and identified as the “NP4 modes”. These modes come in and out of phase with each other during the season, result- ing in distinct weather patterns that recur throughout the historical record. Some phase combinations favor atmospheric river landfalls and extreme daily or multi-day precipitation, while other phase combinations favor anomalously hot weather and drying Santa Ana wind conditions over Southern California. This historical perspective of atmospheric circulation and impacts over 70 years reveals that weather patterns are changing in a way that enhances wildfire hazard in California, while the frequency of weather patterns linked to historical floods is not diminishing. These changes highlight the rising hazards of cascading weather extremes in California’s present and future.

Working Draft Scientific Basis Report for New and Revised Flow Requirements on the Sacramento River and Tributaries, Eastside Tributaries to the Delta, Delta Outflow, and Interior Delta Operations

California State Water Resources Control Board (SWRCB) | October 14th, 2016

This working draft Scientific Basis Report (Report) is being prepared to support the update of the Bay-Delta Plan’s protection of fish and wildlife beneficial uses in t

This working draft Scientific Basis Report (Report) is being prepared to support the update of the Bay-Delta Plan’s protection of fish and wildlife beneficial uses in the Sacramento River watershed and related areas, known as Phase II.1 This update considers four categories of requirements: (1) new inflow requirements for the Sacramento River, its tributaries, and eastside tributaries to the Delta; (2) changes to Delta outflow requirements; (3) new and modified interior Delta flow requirements; and (4) new requirements for cold water habitat. A comprehensive regulatory approach is needed that protects Bay-Delta fish and wildlife throughout their migratory range, and that better integrates the regulatory framework addressing inflows, outflows, and water project operations. Such a framework will help avoid overreliance on one stream to meet flow and other water quality requirements by providing necessary flows on multiple tributaries to ensure suitable habitat and migratory pathways upstream of the Bay-Delta. Another goal is to employ a strategy that provides for timely action, flexibility, and integration with other planning, science, restoration, and regulatory efforts so action can be taken before imperiled species in the watershed are no longer able to be restored.