Warming and snow loss increase reliance on old groundwater in a Colorado River headwater

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | April 8th, 2026

Atmospheric warming is reducing snowpack, with uncertain effects on mountainous streamflow, a crucial water resource. Despite limited historical observations of groundwat

Atmospheric warming is reducing snowpack, with uncertain effects on mountainous streamflow, a crucial water resource. Despite limited historical observations of groundwater–streamflow interactions above 2,500 m, new measurements in the Upper Colorado River headwaters indicate declining groundwater storage that is dated decades to millennia old. Here we use integrated hydrologic modelling spanning water years 2015–2021 to determine whether the loss of old-age groundwater buffers streamflow during low-snow years and whether that loss is exacerbated with warming. Results show that old-groundwater contributions to streams remain relatively steady through time, unlike the more variable contributions from young groundwater. Numerical experiments of increased surface air temperatures (+2.5 °C and +4 °C) increase rain–snow fractions and evapotranspiration and decrease runoff ratio by 2–3% per degree Celsius increase. As streamflow declines with warming, the age of groundwater supporting it gets older, in part owing to intermediate-aged (1–3 year) groundwater declining twice as fast. Simulations show that water table depths at higher elevations (>3,700 m) decline disproportionately and fail to recover even during wet years. These findings suggest altered groundwater–streamflow interactions with warming and snow loss, with implications for water resources.

Cascading impacts of natural disasters in a connected world

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) | March 26th, 2026

Decadal Shifts in Groundwater Age Detected by Environmental Tracers Across California

American Geophysical Union (AGU) | March 23rd, 2026

Groundwater age tells us how long water has been underground since it last infiltrated the land surface. Monitoring changes in groundwater age helps identify aquifer stre

Groundwater age tells us how long water has been underground since it last infiltrated the land surface. Monitoring changes in groundwater age helps identify aquifer stress from pumping or shifts toward new hydrologic conditions—key factors for sustainable water management. In this study, changes in groundwater age were tested by comparing chemical tracer data collected about 10 years apart from hundreds of wells across California. Chemical tracers are dissolved substances with known historical records and decay rates that can be used to infer groundwater age. Using models that estimate expected tracer concentrations under steady-age conditions, this study found that nearly one-third of the wells showed significant changes in groundwater age over time. These changes were most common in areas with heavy agricultural use, where pumping and irrigation have altered how water moves underground. These shifts in age can also affect water quality, especially when younger water carries contaminants like nitrate. By using a statistical modeling approach, this study shows how changes in groundwater age can help identify aquifers under stress and support efforts to manage groundwater sustainably.

Assessing Natural Recharge in Indian Wells Valley, California: A Basin Characterization Model Case Study

U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) | March 18th, 2026

The communities in Indian Wells Valley (IWV), in the northern Mojave Desert in California, rely on groundwater for domestic and agricultural use. Mountain front recharge

The communities in Indian Wells Valley (IWV), in the northern Mojave Desert in California, rely on groundwater for domestic and agricultural use. Mountain front recharge from the surrounding Sierra Nevada is the main source of natural recharge to the valley. Increased urbanization, agricultural development, and groundwater pumping during recent decades put IWV in a state of critical overdraft. The U.S. Geological Survey Basin Characterization Model, version 8 (BCMv8) was used to evaluate historical and future climate and hydrologic conditions in IWV. The BCMv8 estimated natural recharge in IWV at 10.7 million cubic meters (Mm3) per year for the period from 1981 to 2010. Future patterns of water balance variables using three future climate scenarios, hot- wet, hot-dry, and warm-moderately wet, were calculated for mid-century (2040–69) and end-of-century (2070–99) periods. Results for both wet models projected an increase in recharge in both periods, whereas the hot-dry model projected a decrease in recharge in both periods. All models reported a large increase in seasonal variability in recharge, indicating more future availability and frequent occurrences of drought years. All climate scenarios projected an increase in climatic water deficit in both periods. These increases in irrigation demand and variability of water supply highlight the importance of strategic management planning for the sustainability of water resources in IWV.

Mono Lake in a Changing Climate

University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) | March 17th, 2026

This summary report provides an accessible overview of the methods and takeaways from using the University of California, Los Angeles Mono Lake Model (UCLA-MLM) to study

This summary report provides an accessible overview of the methods and takeaways from using the University of California, Los Angeles Mono Lake Model (UCLA-MLM) to study Mono Lake’s water level for varying export and climate conditions. This is also intended to be a summary of the main report. This summary was created for policy makers, organizers, community advocates and members of the public.

Development of a Mono Lake Water Level Model and Projections across the 21st Century

University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) | March 17th, 2026

The UCLA Mono Lake Model (UCLA-MLM) was developed to assess how climate-driven changes and existing and alternative export criteria influence Mono Lake’s water level th

The UCLA Mono Lake Model (UCLA-MLM) was developed to assess how climate-driven changes and existing and alternative export criteria influence Mono Lake’s water level throughout the 21st century.

Appendix for the Development of a Mono Lake Water Level Model and Projections across the 21st Century

University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) | March 17th, 2026

Main Report: Development of a Mono Lake Water Level Model and Projections across the 21st Century; Summary: Mono Lake in a Changing Climate

Main Report: Development of a Mono Lake Water Level Model and Projections across the 21st Century; Summary: Mono Lake in a Changing Climate

Drought Resilience Interagency and Partners Collaborative Progress Report (2026)

California Department of Water Resources (DWR) | March 16th, 2026

This report summarizes the 2025 activities and progress of the Drought Resilience Interagency and Partners (DRIP) Collaborative.

This report summarizes the 2025 activities and progress of the Drought Resilience Interagency and Partners (DRIP) Collaborative.

Global Warming Has Accelerated Significantly

American Geophysical Union (AGU) | March 6th, 2026

The rise in global temperature has been widely considered to be quite steady for several decades since the 1970s. Recently, however, scientists have started to debate whe

The rise in global temperature has been widely considered to be quite steady for several decades since the 1970s. Recently, however, scientists have started to debate whether global warming has accelerated since then. It is difficult to be sure of that because of natural fluctuations in the warming rate, and so far no statistical significance (meaning 95% certainty) of an acceleration (increase in warming rate) has been demonstrated. In this study we subtract the estimated influence of El Niño events, volcanic eruptions and solar variations from the data, which makes the global temperature curve less variable, and it then shows a statistically significant acceleration of global warming since about the year 2015. Warming proceeding faster is not unexpected by climate models, but it is a cause of concern and shows how insufficient the efforts to slow and eventually stop global warming under the Paris Climate Accord have so far been.

Spatial analysis of residential location at birth, PFAS in public water, and childhood cancers in Southern California (2000–2019)

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | March 5th, 2026

Locations with significant increased risk of all cancers, leukemias, lymphomas, and other solid tumors were collocated with PFOS/PFOA contaminated water supplies. Referen

Locations with significant increased risk of all cancers, leukemias, lymphomas, and other solid tumors were collocated with PFOS/PFOA contaminated water supplies. Referent ORs for location were attenuated after adjusting for PFOS detection and in stratified analyses for children of US-born mothers but not for Mexico-born mothers. PFOS detection was associated with higher odds of neuroblastoma (OR = 1.51, 95% CI: 1.07, 2.13) and retinoblastoma (OR = 1.83, 95% CI: 1.19, 2.79), whereas all cancers (OR = 1.07; 95% CI: 0.97, 1.18), brain tumors (OR = 1.15, 95% CI: 0.96, 1.37), and other solid tumors (OR = 1.12, 95% CI: 0.98, 1.29) had non-significant associations. PFOA detection was associated with elevated risk of retinoblastoma (OR = 1.85, 95% CI: 1.14, 3.01).