Hydro-economic analysis of groundwater pumping for irrigated agriculture in California’s Central Valley, USA

Hydrogeology Journal (Springer) | July 12th, 2015

As in many places, groundwater in California (USA) is the major alternative water source for agriculture during drought, so groundwater’s availability will drive some i

As in many places, groundwater in California (USA) is the major alternative water source for agriculture during drought, so groundwater’s availability will drive some inevitable changes in the state’s water management. Currently, agricultural, environmental, and urban uses compete for groundwater, resulting in substantial overdraft in dry years with lowering of water tables, which in turn increases pumping costs and reduces groundwater pumping capacity. In this study, SWAP (an economic model of agricultural production and water use in California) and C2VISim (the California Department of Water Resources groundwater model for California’s Central Valley) are connected. This paper examines the economic costs of pumping replacement groundwater during drought and the potential loss of pumping capacity as groundwater levels drop. A scenario of three additional drought years continuing from 2014 show lower water tables in California’s Central Valley and loss of pumping capacity. Places without access to groundwater and with uncertain surface-water deliveries during drought are the most economically vulnerable in terms of crop revenues, employment and household income. This is particularly true for Tulare Lake Basin, which relies heavily on water imported from the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta. Remote-sensing estimates of idle agricultural land between 2012 and 2014 confirm this finding. Results also point to the potential of a portfolio approach for agriculture, in which crop mixing and conservation practices have substantial roles.

Hydro-economic models: Concepts, design, applications, and future prospects

Journal of Hydrology (Elsevier) | September 15th, 2009

Future water management will shift from building new water supply systems to better operating existing ones. The variation of water values in time and space will

Future water management will shift from building new water supply systems to better operating existing ones. The variation of water values in time and space will increasingly motivate efforts to address water scarcity and reduce water conflicts. Hydro-economic models represent spatially distributed water resource systems, infrastructure, management options and economic values in an integrated manner. In these tools water allocations and management are either driven by the economic value of water or economically evaluated to provide policy insights and reveal opportunities for better management. A central concept is that water demands are not fixed requirements but rather functions where quantities of water use at different times have varying total and marginal economic values. This paper reviews techniques to characterize the economic value of water use and include such values in mathematical models. We identify the key steps in model design and diverse problems, formulations, levels of integration, spatial and temporal scales, and solution techniques addressed and used by over 80 hydro-economic modeling efforts dating back 45 years from 23 countries. We list current limitations of the approach, suggest directions for future work, and recommend ways to improve policy relevance.

Hydrodynamic and Water Quality Model Calibration and Application in San Francisco Bay

San Francisco Estuary Institute (SFEI) | September 3rd, 2018

To answer management questions about nutrient related water quality in San Francisco Bay, hydrodynamic and biogeochemical models have been developed. This report outline

To answer management questions about nutrient related water quality in San Francisco Bay, hydrodynamic and biogeochemical models have been developed. This report outlines the development of both of these models. Section 2 is the description and validation of the hydrodynamic model, previously completed in December 2017 for the San Francisco Bay Interim Model Validation Report, but included here for completeness. Section 3 of this report covers the description and validation the biogeochemical model.

Hydrodynamic Model Development Report: Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta and Suisun Bay (Water Year 2016)

San Francisco Estuary Institute (SFEI) | December 13th, 2019

This report describes work related to hydrodynamic model development for the San Francisco Bay-Delta Estuary, undertaken as part of a broader eort to develop and apply co

This report describes work related to hydrodynamic model development for the San Francisco Bay-Delta Estuary, undertaken as part of a broader eort to develop and apply coupled biogeochemical-hydrodynamic models to inform nutrient management decisions. The primary intended application of the hydrodynamic model output is for use as input to an offline coupled biogeochemical model to simulate a wide range of state variables and processes, including: advective and dispersive transport, nutrient transformations, phytoplankton production, benthic and pelagic grazing, sediment diagenesis, and oxygen cycling.

Hydroeconomic modeling of sustainable groundwater management

American Geophysical Union (AGU) | March 23rd, 2017

In 2014, California passed legislation requiring the sustainable management of critically over-drafted groundwater basins, located primarily in the Central Valley agricu

In 2014, California passed legislation requiring the sustainable management of critically over-drafted groundwater basins, located primarily in the Central Valley agricultural region. Hydroeconomic modeling of the agricultural economy, groundwater, and surface water systems is critically important to simulate potential transition paths to sustainable management of the basins. The requirement for sustainable groundwater use by 2040 is mandated for many overdrafted groundwater basins that are decoupled from environmental and river flow effects. We argue that, for such cases, a modeling approach that integrates a biophysical response function from a hydrologic model into an economic model of groundwater use is preferable to embedding an economic response function in a complex hydrologic model as is more commonly done. Using this preferred approach, we develop a dynamic hydroeconomic model for the Kings and Tulare Lake subbasins of California and evaluate three groundwater management institutions—open access, perfect foresight, and managed pumping. We quantify the costs and benefits of sustainable groundwater management, including energy pumping savings, drought reserve values, and avoided capital costs. Our analysis finds that, for basins that are severely depleted, losses in crop net revenue are offset by the benefits of energy savings, drought reserve value, and avoided capital costs. This finding provides an empirical counter example to the Gisser and Sanchez Effect.

Hydrogeologic characterization of the Cahuilla Valley and Terwilliger Valley Groundwater Basins, Riverside County, California

U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) | December 19th, 2025

The relation between the groundwater and the amount of natural recharge to the Cahuilla Valley and Terwilliger Valley groundwater basins is not well understood. During th

The relation between the groundwater and the amount of natural recharge to the Cahuilla Valley and Terwilliger Valley groundwater basins is not well understood. During the 20th century, the reliance on groundwater near Anza, California, used for agricultural, domestic, and municipal reasons has increased, and there is the potential for changes in groundwater availability related to climate change. Several types of existing data were evaluated, and new data were collected for this study, with the goal of characterizing the region’s hydrogeology. The study’s scope included constructing a geologic framework model to show where the groundwater-bearing units are present and their relation to each other, estimating the major components of the groundwater budget, and understanding local short-term and regional long-term groundwater flow and how that has changed since the early 1900s.

Hydrogeologic Conceptual Model for the Owens Valley Groundwater Basin (6-12), Inyo and Mono Counties

Inyo County Water Department (ICWD) | January 27th, 2016

This report provides a hydrogeologic conceptual model of the Owens Valley Groundwater Basin (OVGB) compiled from numerous sources including the US Geological Survey, Los

This report provides a hydrogeologic conceptual model of the Owens Valley Groundwater Basin (OVGB) compiled from numerous sources including the US Geological Survey, Los Angeles Department of Water and Power, Inyo and Mono Counties, the California Department of Fish and Wildlife, and the California Department of Water Resources. Because groundwater and surface water systems are linked, both systems are described here, prefaced by a summary of the physical setting of the OVGB.

Hydrogeologic evaluation and numerical simulation of the Death Valley regional ground-water flow system, Nevada and California

U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) | July 1st, 1997

Hydrogeology and Simulation of Groundwater Flow in the Lucerne Valley Groundwater Basin, California

U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) | June 28th, 2022

The Lucerne Valley is in the southwestern part of the Mojave Desert and is about 75 miles northeast of Los Angeles, California. The Lucerne Valley groundwater basin encom

The Lucerne Valley is in the southwestern part of the Mojave Desert and is about 75 miles northeast of Los Angeles, California. The Lucerne Valley groundwater basin encompasses about 230 square miles and is separated from the Upper Mojave Valley groundwater basin by splays of the Helendale Fault. Since its settlement, groundwater has been the primary source of water for agricultural, industrial, municipal, and domestic uses. Groundwater withdrawal from pumping has exceeded the amount of water recharged to the basin, causing groundwater declines of more than 100 feet between 1917 and 2016 in the center of the basin. The continued withdrawal has resulted in an increase in pumping costs, reduced well efficiency, and land subsidence near Lucerne Lake. Although the volume of pumping has declined in recent years, there is concern that new agricultural growth and limits on imported water will continue to strain the sustainability of the groundwater system.

Hydrogeology and Water Resources of the Los Osos Valley Ground-Water Basin, San Luis Obispo County, California

U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) | July 18th, 1988

The Los Osos Valley ground-water basin is located on the coast of central California. It extends about 3 miles inland and an unknown distance offshore, where it is in h

The Los Osos Valley ground-water basin is located on the coast of central California. It extends about 3 miles inland and an unknown distance offshore, where it is in hydraulic connection with the Pacific Ocean. Its maximum onshore depth is about 1,000 feet. Ground-water flow in the basin was investigated using existing data, geologic mapping, drilling and measurements of potentiometric head, water quality, and streamflow. The basin is underlain largely by relatively impermeable rocks of the Franciscan Complex. Basin fill consists of unconsolidated, complexly layered sediments of Miocene age or younger. Individual beds are generally thin and discontinuous. A three-dimensional digital model of the basin was developed and calibrated to match potentiometric heads and head-dependent flows during water years 1970-77 and 1986. The model simulated poorly the steep vertical potentiometric heads, and it could not simulate perched water tables. In other respects, model results were good and not highly sensitive to likely errors in input data. Infiltrated rainfall contributes about 80 percent of annual recharge to the ground-water basin, and ground-water inflow accounts for almost all the remainder. Net recharge from Los Osos Creek is small. In water year 1986, outflow from the basin consisted of net municipal pumpage (24 percent), net agricultural pumpage (25 percent), net outflow across the ocean boundary (26 percent), perched-water runoff (16 percent), and phreatophyte transpiration (9 percent). During water years 1970-77 net municipal pumpage and net agricultural pumpage accounted for only 10 and 22 percent of total outflow, respectively. The population of Los Osos Valley is expected to increase by about 20,000 people by the year 2010, and municipal water use is expected to increase by about 1,700 acre-feet per year. The model was used to simulate the effects of various future water-supply and wastewater-disposal alternatives on the  ground-water system. Results indicated that if wastewater is centrally treated and recharged to the ground-water basin, the entire projected municipal water demand can be met with locally pumped ground water without inducing seawater intrusion, even during droughts lasting 1 to 3 years. If wastewater is exported from the basin, however, large amounts of seawater intrusion are likely to occur even if nearly half of the municipal water demand is met with imported water.