Agricultural risks from changing snowmelt

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | April 20th, 2020

Snowpack stores cold-season precipitation to meet warm-season water demand. Climate change threatens to disturb this balance by altering the fraction of precipita

Snowpack stores cold-season precipitation to meet warm-season water demand. Climate change threatens to disturb this balance by altering the fraction of precipitation falling as snow and the timing of snowmelt, which may have profound effects on food production in basins where irrigated agriculture relies heavily on snowmelt runoff. Here, we analyse global patterns of snowmelt and agricultural water uses to identify regions and crops that are most dependent on snowmelt water resources. We find hotspots primarily in high-mountain Asia (the Tibetan Plateau), Central Asia, western Russia, western US and the southern Andes. Using projections of sub-annual runoff under warming scenarios, we identify the basins most at risk from changing snowmelt patterns, where up to 40% of irrigation demand must be met by new alternative water supplies under a 4 °C warming scenario. Our results highlight basins and crops where adaptation of water management and agricultural systems may be especially critical in a changing climate.

Agricultural Water Conservation and Efficiency Potential in California

Pacific Institute | June 10th, 2014

Agriculture uses about 80 percent of California’s developed water supply. As such a large user, it is heavily impacted by the availability and reliability of California

Agriculture uses about 80 percent of California’s developed water supply. As such a large user, it is heavily impacted by the availability and reliability of California’s water resources.  Agriculture can also play an important role in helping the state achieve a more sustainable water future. The challenge is to transition to an agricultural sector that supplies food and fiber to California and the world and supports rural livelihoods and long-term sustainable water use.

Agricultural Water Use Efficiency (Resource Management Strategy)

California Department of Water Resources (DWR) | July 29th, 2016

The agricultural water use efficiency strategy describes the use and application of scientific processes to control agricultural water delivery and use to achieve a benef

The agricultural water use efficiency strategy describes the use and application of scientific processes to control agricultural water delivery and use to achieve a beneficial outcome. It includes an estimation of net water savings or increased production resulting from implementing efficiency measures as expressed by the ratio of output to input, resulting benefits, and strategies to achieve efficiency and benefits.

Aliso Water District Groundwater Sustainability Plan

Aliso Water District Groundwater Sustainability Agency | January 17th, 2020

Alleviating water scarcity by optimizing crop mixes

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | November 6th, 2023

Amplified impacts of multi-year La Niñas on soil moisture compared to single-year La Niñas

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | August 14th, 2025

This study examines December-January-February (DJF) soil moisture responses to multi-year (MY) and single-year (SY) La Niñas using a 2200-year CESM1 simulation, AGCM exp

This study examines December-January-February (DJF) soil moisture responses to multi-year (MY) and single-year (SY) La Niñas using a 2200-year CESM1 simulation, AGCM experiments, and observational data. Four regions where MY La Niñas amplify SY La Niñas’ impacts on soil moisture were identified: North America, Australia, the Middle East, and the Sahel. SY La Niñas typically cause soil moisture drying in the Middle East and North America and wetting in Australia and the Sahel. MY La Niñas enhance these effects in the second DJF due to the strengthening of precipitation anomalies or the accumulation of precipitation-induced soil moisture anomalies, except in the Sahel where wetting is driven in part by evapotranspiration anomalies. Soil moisture variations are linked to La Niña-induced sea surface temperature changes in the Indian Ocean (for Australia and the Middle East) and the Pacific Ocean (for North America). These amplified effects are largely supported by the observed MY La Niña events from 1948 to 2022. These findings emphasize the need to integrate MY La Niñas into regional agriculture and water resource management strategies to better anticipate and mitigate their impacts.

An evolutionary parsimonious approach to estimate daily reference evapotranspiration

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | March 20th, 2024

Anderson-Cottonwood Irrigation District Integrated Regional Water Management Program – Groundwater Production Element Project

U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (USBR) | August 15th, 2011

This project would improve the flexibility and reliability of the District’s water supply, particularly during dry and critically dry water years. In 2004, ACID’s sur

This project would improve the flexibility and reliability of the District’s water supply, particularly during dry and critically dry water years. In 2004, ACID’s surface water rights were reduced from 165,000 to 121,000 ac-ft per year as part of the renegotiation of the 40-year Settlement Contract. Furthermore, the west side of the District’s system has little to no downstream control. Control of the system is achieved at the head of the 35-mile main canal, causing some delivery difficulties at the downstream end of the service area. By pushing water from upstream to downstream without an ability to manage intermediate water surface elevations, downstream response time to water delivery needs can be greatly hindered. This project would help with the flexibility and reliability required to meet agricultural water needs.

Anticipating drought-related food security changes

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | September 29th, 2022

Food insecurity early warning can provide time to mitigate unfolding crises; however, drought remains a large source of uncertainty. The challenge is to filter unclear or

Food insecurity early warning can provide time to mitigate unfolding crises; however, drought remains a large source of uncertainty. The challenge is to filter unclear or conflicting signals from various climatic and socio-economic variables and link them to food security outcomes. Integrating lag-1 autocorrelation diagnostics into remotely sensed observations from the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission and food prices, we found dramatic improvement in anticipating the timing and intensity of food crises, except in conflict settings. We analysed drought-induced food crises globally in the SMAP record (since 2015; approximately five per year). The change in soil moisture autocorrelation, which we term the Soil Moisture Auto-Regressive Threshold (SMART), signalled an accurate food security transition for all cases studied here (P 

Application of Hydrologic Simulation Program—FORTRAN (HSPF) as Part of an Integrated Hydrologic Model for the Salinas Valley, California

U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) | April 8th, 2025

The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), in cooperation with the Monterey County Water Resources Agency, conducted studies to help evaluate the surface-water and grou

The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), in cooperation with the Monterey County Water Resources Agency, conducted studies to help evaluate the surface-water and groundwater resources of the Salinas Valley study area, consisting of the entire Salinas River watershed and several smaller, adjacent coastal watersheds draining into Monterey Bay. The Salinas Valley study area is a highly productive agricultural region that depends on the coordinated use of surface water and groundwater to meet demand for irrigation and public water supply. To continue to meet these demands, a better understanding of the historical water balance and the effects of water-resource development on the long-term sustainability of water resources in the Salinas Valley study area is needed.