Decadal Shifts in Groundwater Age Detected by Environmental Tracers Across California

American Geophysical Union (AGU) | March 23rd, 2026

Groundwater age tells us how long water has been underground since it last infiltrated the land surface. Monitoring changes in groundwater age helps identify aquifer stre

Groundwater age tells us how long water has been underground since it last infiltrated the land surface. Monitoring changes in groundwater age helps identify aquifer stress from pumping or shifts toward new hydrologic conditions—key factors for sustainable water management. In this study, changes in groundwater age were tested by comparing chemical tracer data collected about 10 years apart from hundreds of wells across California. Chemical tracers are dissolved substances with known historical records and decay rates that can be used to infer groundwater age. Using models that estimate expected tracer concentrations under steady-age conditions, this study found that nearly one-third of the wells showed significant changes in groundwater age over time. These changes were most common in areas with heavy agricultural use, where pumping and irrigation have altered how water moves underground. These shifts in age can also affect water quality, especially when younger water carries contaminants like nitrate. By using a statistical modeling approach, this study shows how changes in groundwater age can help identify aquifers under stress and support efforts to manage groundwater sustainably.

Decadal trends in the quality of groundwater used for public drinking-water supply in California, 2004–2023, California groundwater ambient monitoring and assessment program, priority basin project

U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) | February 25th, 2026

This study provides a comprehensive assessment of decadal changes in the quality of groundwater used for public drinking-water supply at 444 monitoring site

This study provides a comprehensive assessment of decadal changes in the quality of groundwater used for public drinking-water supply at 444 monitoring sites across California during 2004–2023. We assessed decadal step trends in groundwater quality for 145 water-quality constituents and geochemical indicators statewide and across geographic and land-use based network groups. We evaluated the statistical significance of directional changes (predominant increase or decrease of constituent concentrations) and the magnitude of those changes across all network groups. Uranium showed the most widespread directional and high-magnitude increases of all constituents with regulatory benchmarks statewide, particularly in the agriculture-dominated Central Valley as well as urban- and desert-dominated regions of Southern California. Fluoride and perchlorate showed the most widespread directional and high-magnitude decreases of all constituents with regulatory benchmarks statewide, which were also most pronounced in Southern California. Although arsenic and nitrate did not often register significant directional changes across network groups, they showed widespread, high-magnitude changes in both directions (increase and decrease) at levels often exceeding 10 percent of respective regulatory benchmarks statewide. Triazine herbicides (atrazine and simazine) and the gasoline oxygenate methyl tert-butyl ether (MTBE) showed significant directional decreases statewide, but not at levels considered to be of high magnitude compared to respective regulatory benchmarks. We observed significant directional and high-magnitude increases of total dissolved solids (TDS) statewide, which were most pronounced in agricultural areas. Analysis of explanatory geochemical indicators indicated that prevalent statewide increases of alkalinity and calcium were the predominant components of the observed statewide increases in TDS by mass. Widespread increases in groundwater alkalinity and calcium across agricultural and urban areas may be related, in part, to warm-season irrigation and other anthropogenic factors that have shifted soil weathering dynamics over the long term. Increasing alkalinity concentrations were related to increasing uranium concentrations, particularly in areas with aquifer materials derived from granitic rocks. Conversely, increasing calcium concentrations were related to decreasing fluoride concentrations, particularly in areas where fluoride occurred naturally at elevated concentrations. Decrease of perchlorate, triazine herbicides, and MTBE are likely related to decreased anthropogenic source inputs over time and natural attenuation in aquifers.

Decadal trends in the quality of groundwater used for public drinking-water supply in California, 2004–23

U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) | July 30th, 2026

This study provides a comprehensive assessment of decadal changes in the quality of groundwater used for public drinking- water supply at 444 monitoring sites across Cali

This study provides a comprehensive assessment of decadal changes in the quality of groundwater used for public drinking- water supply at 444 monitoring sites across California during 2004–23. We assessed decadal step trends in groundwater quality for 145 water- quality constituents and geochemical indicators statewide and across geographic and land- use based network groups. We evaluated the statistical significance of directional changes (predominant increase or decrease of constituent concentrations) and the magnitude of those changes across all network groups.

Declining Freshwater Availability in the Colorado River Basin Threatens Sustainability of Its Critical Groundwater Supplies

American Geophysical Union (AGU) | May 27th, 2025

Climate change is causing more frequent and intense droughts around the world, including in the Colorado River Basin, which supplies water to seven U.S. states and Mexico

Climate change is causing more frequent and intense droughts around the world, including in the Colorado River Basin, which supplies water to seven U.S. states and Mexico, and is facing severe water shortages. This study investigates how changes in water storage components (e.g., snow, surface water, soil moisture and groundwater) and water use are contributing to these shortages, and impacting agriculture and municipal water supplies, using data from the NASA GRACE and GRACE Follow-On (GRACE-FO) satellite missions, land surface models, and in situ data over the past two decades. Results show significant losses of groundwater: 7.8.0 ± 5.3 km3 in the Upper CRB (UCRB) and 25.5 ± 7.4 km3 in the Lower CRB (LCRB). Progress toward sustainable groundwater could be achieved by reducing groundwater extraction, in line with current rates of depletion (0.35 km3 in the UCRB and 1.15 km3 in the LCRB). This research highlights the importance of understanding the factors affecting groundwater levels to create sustainable water management strategies that can help secure water resources for the region's future.

Declining Groundwater Level Effects on Supply Well Operations

University of California, Davis (UC Davis) | December 1st, 2017

Pumping more from groundwater basins than they can sustainably supply decreases groundwater levels, often by undesirable amounts. Economic impacts from overdraft

Pumping more from groundwater basins than they can sustainably supply decreases groundwater levels, often by undesirable amounts. Economic impacts from overdraft and drought include increased costs for supplying water and lost revenue from inability to meet water demands. The combination of decreased groundwater level with existing well depth may limit well production as pumping costs increase and wells run dry. Declining groundwater elevations may also incur costs to move pumps deeper in the wells. Further falling groundwater elevation increases costs for production and maintenance, and decreases production capacity, as pumping levels drop into the screened intervals of wells and cause screen clogging and corrosion. In more extreme cases, well replacement costs may be incurred if groundwater drops so low that adequate submergence of pumps cannot be maintained, and wells become unusable. The potential impacts of decreasing groundwater elevation on supply well operations were evaluated for a study area in California’s Central Valley (greater vicinity of Tulare, CA). Well construction data from logs provided by the California Department of Water Resources (DWR) were characterized through statistical analysis of the elevations for the tops and bottoms of screened intervals. Groundwater elevation time series were obtained from the DWR Water Data Library. Estimated trends in well capacity loss were developed from estimates of the fraction of wells over time that had standing water levels (minus an estimated pumping drawdown) below 1) the top of the screened interval and 2) the bottom of the screened interval. The end result is a method for estimating the costs of water level declines over time from drought or groundwater overdraft due to effects on proper operation and pumping of wells. The conceptual approach, data, methods, and conclusions of this thesis draw from a research report funded by the California Department of Food and Agriculture (CDFA).

Declining groundwater storage expected to amplify mountain streamflow reductions in a warmer world

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | May 23rd, 2024

Groundwater interactions with mountain streams are often simplified in model projections, potentially leading to inaccurate estimates of streamflow response to climate ch

Groundwater interactions with mountain streams are often simplified in model projections, potentially leading to inaccurate estimates of streamflow response to climate change. Here, using a high-resolution, integrated hydrological model extending 400 m into the subsurface, we find groundwater an important and stable source of historical streamflow in a mountainous watershed of the Colorado River. In a warmer climate, increased forest water use is predicted to reduce groundwater recharge resulting in groundwater storage loss. Losses are expected to be most severe during dry years and cannot recover to historical levels even during simulated wet periods. Groundwater depletion substantially reduces annual streamflow with intermittent conditions predicted when precipitation is low. Expanding results across the region suggests groundwater declines will be highest in the Colorado Headwater and Gunnison basins. Our research highlights the tight coupling of vegetation and groundwater dynamics and that excluding explicit groundwater response to warming may underestimate future reductions in mountain streamflow.

Delano Earlimart Irrigation District Groundwater Sustainability Plan

Delano Earlimart Irrigation District | January 27th, 2020

Delineation of ground‐water flow systems in the southern Great Basin using aqueous rare earth element distributions

National Groundwater Association (NGWA) | January 1st, 1997

The rare earth element (REE) signature of ground waters from both felsic volcanic rocks on the Nevada Test Site and from the regional Paleozoic carbonate aquifer of south

The rare earth element (REE) signature of ground waters from both felsic volcanic rocks on the Nevada Test Site and from the regional Paleozoic carbonate aquifer of southern Nevada resemble the REE signature of the rocks through which they flow. Moreover, the REE signatures of Ash Meadows ground waters are similar to those of springs in the Furnace Creek region of Death Valley but different from shallow ground waters from predominantly tuffaceous alluvial deposits in the Amargosa Desert, perched ground waters from felsic volcanic rocks, and ground waters that have only flowed through the regional Paleozoic carbonate aquifer. The similar REE patterns of Ash Meadows and Furnace Creek ground waters support previous investigations that suggested ground waters discharging from the Furnace Creek springs are similar to the ground waters emerging from the Ash Meadows springs. The REE patterns indicate that the contribution of ground water from the Amargosa Desert to the Furnace Creek springs is of minor importance. Our REE analyses along with previous stable isotope, ground‐water potentiometric surface relationships, and geologic structure analyses support ground‐water flow from east to west in the fractured and faulted carbonate rocks beneath Ash Meadows, the Amargosa Desert, and the southern end of the Funeral Mountains. Our observations are contrary to some previous investigations that identified shallow ground waters from the central and northwestern Amargosa Desert as a substantial component of the ground water that discharges from the Furnace Creek springs.

Delineation of Spatial Extent, Depth, Thickness, and Potential Volume of Aquifers Used for Domestic and Public Water-Supply in the Central Valley, California

U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) | September 5th, 2019

Identification of the groundwater resources used for drinking-water supplies is essential for the design of strategies to manage those resources. In this study, t

Identification of the groundwater resources used for drinking-water supplies is essential for the design of strategies to manage those resources. In this study, the spatial extent, depths, thicknesses, and volumes of groundwater aquifers used for domestic and public drinking-water supply were estimated from locations and well-construction data from 11,725 domestic-supply wells and 2,376 public-supply wells in the Central Valley, California. The data were compiled as part of the U.S. Geological Survey National Water Quality Assessment Project and California State Water Resources Control Board Groundwater Ambient Monitoring and Assessment Program Priority Basin Project. The spatial distributions of the depth to top and bottom of well screens were interpolated using Empirical Bayesian Kriging across buffer areas surrounding domestic- and public-supply wells. These surfaces provide a measure of the likely maximum horizontal and vertical extent of the aquifer volume accessed for drinking water in the Central Valley during the past century. Well depth generally increased from north to south, and over time from 1905 to 2010. Well-construction depths were generally more consistent in the Sacramento Valley than in the San Joaquin Valley. The total potential aquifer volume accessed for public supply was calculated to be greater than domestic-supply access, even though the estimated spatial extent of domestic-supply wells was 1.5 times larger than the spatial extent of public-supply wells. Public-supply wells commonly have screen lengths greater than 51 meters, whereas domestic-supply wells typically have shorter screen lengths (overall median of 6 meters). Consequently, the accessed thickness and volume of the aquifer is on average 1.8 and 1.4 times greater for public-supply wells than domestic- supply wells, respectively. Results are presented as maps of areal extent, depth, and thickness of zones in the Central Valley aquifer system used for domestic and public drinking- water supplies.

Delta Chromium-53/52 isotopic composition of native and contaminated groundwater, Mojave Desert, USA

Applied Geochemistry (Elsevier) | April 20th, 2012

Chromium(VI) concentrations in groundwater sampled from three contaminant plumes in aquifers in the Mojave Desert near Hinkley, Topock and El Mirage, California, USA, wer

Chromium(VI) concentrations in groundwater sampled from three contaminant plumes in aquifers in the Mojave Desert near Hinkley, Topock and El Mirage, California, USA, were as high as 2600, 5800 and 330 μg/L, respectively. δ53/52Cr compositions from more than 50 samples collected within these plumes ranged from near 0‰ to almost 4‰ near the plume margins. Assuming only reductive fractionation of Cr(VI) to Cr(III) within the plume, apparent fractionation factors for δ53/52Cr isotopes ranged from εapp = 0.3 to 0.4 within the Hinkley and Topock plumes, respectively, and only the El Mirage plume had a fractionation factor similar to the laboratory derived value of ε = 3.5. One possible explanation for the difference between field and laboratory fractionation factors at the Hinkley and Topock sites is localized reductive fractionation of Cr(VI) to Cr(III), with subsequent advective mixing of native and contaminated water near the plume margin. Chromium(VI) concentrations and δ53/52Cr isotopic compositions did not uniquely define the source of Cr near the plume margin, or the extent of reductive fractionation within the plume. However, Cr(VI) and δ53/52Cr data contribute to understanding of the interaction between reductive and mixing processes that occur within and near the margins of Cr contamination plumes. Reductive fractionation of Cr(VI) predominates in plumes having higher εapp, these plumes may be suitable for monitored natural attenuation. In contrast, advective mixing predominates in plumes having lower εapp, the highly dispersed margins of these plumes may be difficult to define and manage.