South Coast

Report of the State Engineer to the Legislature of the State of California - Session of 1881

State of California | January 3rd, 1880

Residential Water Conservation and the Rebound Effect: A Temporal Decomposition and Investigation

American Geophysical Union (AGU) | April 25th, 2023

Resilience by Design

City of Los Angeles | January 7th, 2016

Resilience by Design presents the recommendations of the Mayoral Seismic Safety Task Force, the members of which are listed in the Acknowledgements Section of this docume

Resilience by Design presents the recommendations of the Mayoral Seismic Safety Task Force, the members of which are listed in the Acknowledgements Section of this document.  These recommendations address the city’s greatest vulnerabilities from earthquakes with significant and attainable solutions to: • Protect the lives of our residents • Improve the capacity of the City to respond to earthquakes • Prepare the City to recover quickly from earthquakes • Protect the economy of the City and all of Southern California. The Mayoral Seismic Task Force evaluated four areas of seismic vulnerability, namely: • Pre-1980 “ non-ductile reinforced concrete” buildings • Pre-1980 “soft-first- story ” buildings • Water system infrastructure ( including impact on firefighting capability) • Telecommunications infrastructure

Resilient Los Angeles

City of Los Angeles | March 1st, 2018

Los Angeles has always been a global destination for dreamers, doers, thinkers, and creators. We have blue skies and pristine beaches and a rich culture of diversity, c

Los Angeles has always been a global destination for dreamers, doers, thinkers, and creators. We have blue skies and pristine beaches and a rich culture of diversity, creativity, and entrepreneurism. The opportunities of tomorrow are limitless, as we work to build Los Angeles into a vibrant, thriving model city of the 21st century. Yet this dream comes with the growing pressures of our susceptibility to the impacts of climate change and aging infrastructure. We are all deeply aware that it is a question of when, not if Los Angeles will face the next Big One—whether it’s an earthquake, flood, heatwave, fire, or other disaster with long-term impacts. While we have made great strides over the past 25 years, it’s time to do more—to strengthen and create new partnerships, to change the way our government collaborates and to empower and secure our communities—so that we can work together to make L.A. a global model of resilience. Building a more resilient Los Angeles starts with addressing the needs of our most vulnerable populations and neighborhoods. Too often, those who are least equipped to handle the effects of catastrophic events end up suffering the most. And empowering our most vulnerable—children, immigrants, and lower-income residents, among others—is not just about emergency preparedness. It is about directly addressing those underlying daily stresses—such as poverty, financial security, and affordable housing—and ensuring that all Angelenos feel safe and secure in their daily lives. It also means bringing neighbors together to strengthen our collective resources and social bonds and innovating creative solutions along the way.

Responses and impacts of atmospheric rivers to climate change

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | March 9th, 2020

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are characterized by intense moisture transport, which, on landfall, produce precipitation which can be both beneficial and destructive. ARs in C

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are characterized by intense moisture transport, which, on landfall, produce precipitation which can be both beneficial and destructive. ARs in California, for example, are known to have ended drought conditions but also to have caused substantial socio-economic damage from landslides and flooding linked to extreme precipitation. Understanding how AR characteristics will respond to a warming climate is, therefore, vital to the resilience of communities affected by them, such as the western USA, Europe, East Asia and South Africa. In this Review, we use a theoretical framework to synthesize understanding of the dynamic and thermodynamic responses of ARs to anthropogenic warming and connect them to observed and projected changes and impacts revealed by observations and complex models. Evidence suggests that increased atmospheric moisture (governed by Clausius–Clapeyron scaling) will enhance the intensity of AR-related precipitation — and related hydrological extremes — but with changes that are ultimately linked to topographic barriers. However, due to their dependency on both weather and climate-scale processes, which themselves are often poorly constrained, projections are uncertain. To build confidence and improve resilience, future work must focus efforts on characterizing the multiscale development of ARs and in obtaining observations from understudied regions, including the West Pacific, South Pacific and South Atlantic.

Rethinking Old Rights

Social Science Research Network (SSRN) | November 1st, 2023

Review of the Colorado River Interim Guidelines for Lower Basin Shortages and Coordinated Operations for Lake Powell and Lake Mead

U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (USBR) | December 18th, 2020

Spurred by an ongoing multi-year drought, decreasing system storage, and growing demands for Colorado River Water, in December 2007, Secretary of the Interior (Se

Spurred by an ongoing multi-year drought, decreasing system storage, and growing demands for Colorado River Water, in December 2007, Secretary of the Interior (Secretary) Kempthorne approved the Record of Decision (ROD) for the Colorado River Interim Guidelines for Lower Basin Shortages and the Coordinated Operations for Lake Powell and Lake Mead (Guidelines) (U.S. Department of the Interior [Department], 2007). The Guidelines, which are anticipated to be in place for an interim period through 2026, provide operating criteria for Lake Powell and Lake Mead including provisions designed to provide a greater degree of certainty to water users about timing and volumes of potential water delivery reductions, and additional operating flexibility to conserve and store water in the system. The interim nature of the Guidelines provided the opportunity to gain valuable experience for the management of Lake Powell and Lake Mead under modified operations and improve the basis for making future operational decisions, whether during the interim period or after. The requirement to document this experience is set forth in Section XI.G.7.D. of the ROD: “Beginning no later than December 31, 2020, the Secretary shall initiate a formal review for purposes of evaluating the effectiveness of these Guidelines. The Secretary shall consult with the Basin States in initiating this review” (7.D. Review). In December 2019, Secretary Bernhardt directed the Bureau of Reclamation (Reclamation) to begin a review of the Guidelines in early 2020. This Report is the culmination of that process. This Report documents Reclamation’s operational experience and provides a retrospective evaluation of whether operations and actions specified by the Guidelines have adhered to common themes and been effective with respect to the purpose stated in the ROD. The results of this evaluation are not intended to imply correctness of any particular operational provision or recommend future policies or actions. Reclamation anticipates that this Report will be a valuable source of information during upcoming activities in support of post-2026 operations – but expects this Report to be only one of many sources of information that will be available to guide that process and inform upcoming decisions on operations. Reclamation recognizes there are other areas of interest beyond the scope of this Report that should be considered in future discussions. These topics include but are not limited to the impacts to environmental, recreational, hydropower, and water quality resources, how to meaningfully engage perspectives from a diverse group of partners and stakeholders, and other recommendations from tribes, states and other stakeholders. Reclamation anticipates that additional studies and activities will be undertaken and used to inform discussions related to future operations of Lake Powell and Lake Mead. Click here for Final Report, Appendix A – Operational Documentation for Lake Powell and Lake Mead Operations Under the Colorado River 2007 Interim Guidelines Years 2008 to 2019

Ridging associated with drought in western and southwestern United States: characteristics, trends and predictability

American Meteorological Society (AMS) | April 1st, 2020

Persistent winter ridging events are a consistent feature of meteorological drought across the western and southwestern United States. In this study, a ridge detection al

Persistent winter ridging events are a consistent feature of meteorological drought across the western and southwestern United States. In this study, a ridge detection algorithm is developed and applied on daily geopotential height anomalies to track and quantify the diversity of individual ridge characteristics (e.g., position, frequency, magnitude, extent, and persistence). Three dominant ridge types are shown to play important, but differing, roles for influencing the location of landfalling atmospheric rivers (ARs), precipitation, and subsequently meteorological drought. For California, a combination of these ridge types is important for influencing precipitation deficits on daily through seasonal time scales, indicating the various pathways by which ridging can induce drought. Furthermore, both the frequency of ridge types and reduced AR activity are necessary features for explaining drought variability on seasonal time scales across the western and southwestern regions. The three ridge types are found to be associated in different ways with various remote drivers and modes of variability, highlighting possible sources of subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictability. A comparison between ridge types shows that anomalously large and persistent ridging events relate to different Rossby wave trains across the Pacific with different preferential upstream locations of tropical heating. For the “South-ridge” type, centered over the Southwest, a positive trend is found in both the frequency and persistence of these events across recent decades, likely contributing to observed regional drying. These results illustrate the utility of feature tracking for characterizing a wider range of ridging features that collectively influence precipitation deficits and drought.

Rising Seas and Electricity Infrastructure: Potential Impacts and Adaptation Actions for San Diego Gas & Electric

California Energy Commission (CEC) | August 31st, 2018

Part A: Rising sea levels pose a threat to California’s energy infrastructure and the coastal communities that it serves. To better understand this threat, this

Part A: Rising sea levels pose a threat to California’s energy infrastructure and the coastal communities that it serves. To better understand this threat, this study analyzed the exposure of San Diego Gas & Electric Company (SDG&E) electricity assets in San Diego County to climate change- driven coastal wave flooding, tidal inundation, and coastal erosion. The study found that the greatest potential direct impacts are damage to four substations in the Mission Bay and San Diego Bay areas. By modeling the potential costs to customers from unserved energy due to service disruptions driven by exposed substations, this study found economic impacts could— under an extreme sea level rise scenario in the late 21st century compounded by a 100 year storm-- range from $1.2 billion to $25 billion, assuming no adaptation actions are taken. Nearby communities could also experience indirect impacts if critical customers served by the substations—such as sewage pumping stations, hospitals, airports, and ports—are affected by outages. For other asset types, potential direct impacts are expected in the form of increased maintenance and repair costs. The research team identified a range of potential adaptation measures to build resilience to potential impacts. The application of flexible adaptation pathways emerged through the study as the best approach to improve implementation of these measures in the face of future uncertainty. Rather than selecting adaptation measures based only on what is known today, flexible adaptation pathways help establish information that that should be tracked, termed signposts, to help navigate uncertainty, set thresholds that trigger adaptation actions, and determine if an adaptation plan is meeting its objectives. Using these pathways, four initial climate adaptation actions were identified for SDG&E: 1) enhance coastal storm prediction and response, 2) identify signposts and thresholds that indicate when the need for an adaptation decision is approaching, 3) conduct consultations with regional stakeholders to identify opportunities to improve community-wide resilience, and 4) improve and fine-tune cost-benefit analysis methods to increase accuracy and confidence in cost-benefit estimates that incorporate climate change. Click here for Part B of the report, Potential Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Actions for Gas Assets in the San Diego Gas and Electric Company Service Area, CEC, 2018

Risk-Informed Future Climate Scenario Development for the State Water Project Delivery Capability Report

California Department of Water Resources (DWR) | August 24th, 2023

This report introduces and documents an extensive effort undertaken by the California Department of Water Resources (DWR) to develop risk-informed future climate scenario

This report introduces and documents an extensive effort undertaken by the California Department of Water Resources (DWR) to develop risk-informed future climate scenarios for the State Water Project (SWP) Delivery Capability Report (DCR), a report issued by the SWP every two years. These reports present DWR’s analysis of the SWP system and planning information for users of SWP water. The analysis provides information about how climate change, regulatory, and operational considerations affect SWP delivery capability. Specifically, the report must provide “…under a range of hydrologic conditions, the then existing overall delivery capability of the project facilities and the allocation of that capacity to each contractor. The range of hydrologic conditions shall include the historic extended dry cycle and long-term average.” (Settlement Agreement 2003).