Decadal Shifts in Groundwater Age Detected by Environmental Tracers Across California

Groundwater age tells us how long water has been underground since it last infiltrated the land surface. Monitoring changes in groundwater age helps identify aquifer stress from pumping or shifts toward new hydrologic conditions—key factors for sustainable water management. In this study, changes in groundwater age were tested by comparing chemical tracer data collected about 10 years apart from hundreds of wells across California. Chemical tracers are dissolved substances with known historical records and decay rates that can be used to infer groundwater age. Using models that estimate expected tracer concentrations under steady-age conditions, this study found that nearly one-third of the wells showed significant changes in groundwater age over time. These changes were most common in areas with heavy agricultural use, where pumping and irrigation have altered how water moves underground. These shifts in age can also affect water quality, especially when younger water carries contaminants like nitrate. By using a statistical modeling approach, this study shows how changes in groundwater age can help identify aquifers under stress and support efforts to manage groundwater sustainably.