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Evaluating the Accuracy of Reclamation’s 24-Month Study Lake Powell Projections

Jian Wang, Brad Udall, Eric Kuhn, Kevin Wheeler, John C. Schmidt | February 18th, 2022


The bias for inflow predictions will likely be reduced now that the reference period includes a more recent, and somewhat drier, span of time, but projections of future inflows are likely to remain biased, because the hydrology of the 1991-2020 reference period was still wetter than the current Millennium Drought.

Keywords

Colorado River, modeling, science management, upper watershed management, water supply