Synthesizing Relationships Between Winter-Run Chinook Salmon Out-Migration Survival and Water Operations in the Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta

University of California, Davis (UC Davis) | December 19th, 2025

Sacramento River winter-run Chinook Salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) are an endangered population that faces numerous challenges across its life cycle, including juvenil

Sacramento River winter-run Chinook Salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) are an endangered population that faces numerous challenges across its life cycle, including juvenile out-migration through the heavily anthropogenically modified Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta, or Delta. Water exports from pumping facilities in the Delta can alter local hydrology and influence movement of out-migrating juveniles, some of which are observed in or near pumping facilities. Monitoring and regulations, intended to protect out-migrating fish through restrictions on pumping, are predicated on assumed relationships among fish observations, water operations, and through-Delta migratory survival. In this study, we use a new conceptual model to review the current state of science for winter-run Chinook Salmon out-migration survival in the Delta, and use simulation modeling to address pertinent knowledge gaps. Results of this study highlight varying support for the influence of Sacramento River flow, temperature, and water exports on routing and survival in different regions of the Delta. The contributions of specific routing pathways to the interior Delta (e.g., through Threemile Slough) to survival, and the relationship between fish entrainment at pumping facilities and overall migratory survival, remain uncertain. Recommended future work includes continued fine-scale acoustic telemetry studies throughout the Delta, novel integrated modeling of monitoring data, and contextualizing the relevance of Delta-based survival to population viability by incorporating explicit uncertainties about survival into existing life-cycle models.

Technical Report on Barriers: A part of the comprehensive survey of San Francisco Bay and tributaries, California

U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) | March 15th, 1963

Technical Report on the Scientific Basis for Alternative San Joaquin River Flow and Southern Delta Salinity Objectives

California State Water Resources Control Board (SWRCB) | February 15th, 2012

The State Water Resources Control Board (State Water Board) is in the process of reviewing the San Joaquin River (SJR) flow objectives for the protection of fish and wild

The State Water Resources Control Board (State Water Board) is in the process of reviewing the San Joaquin River (SJR) flow objectives for the protection of fish and wildlife beneficial uses, water quality objectives for the protection of southern delta agricultural beneficial uses, and the program of implementation for those objectives contained in the 2006 Water Quality Control Plan for the San Francisco Bay/Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta Estuary (2006 Bay- Delta Plan). Figure 1.1 displays the project area corresponding to SJR flow objectives and program of implementation and Figure 1.2 displays the project area for the southern Delta water quality objectives and program of implementation. The information and analytical tools described in this report (referred to hereafter as Draft Technical Report or Technical Report) are intended to provide the State Water Board with the scientific information and tools needed to consider potential changes to these objectives and their associated program of implementation. In this quasi-legislative process, State Water Board staff will propose amendments to the SJR flow objectives for the protection of fish and wildlife beneficial uses, southern Delta water quality objectives for the protection of agricultural beneficial uses, and the program of implementation contained in the 2006 Bay-Delta Plan. Also, the environmental impacts of these amendments will be evaluated in a Substitute Environmental Document (SED) in compliance with the California Environmental Quality Act. Any changes to water rights consistent with the revised program of implementation will be considered in a subsequent adjudicative proceeding.

Technical Review of the Draft Staff Report/Substitute Environmental Document in Support of Potential Updates to the Water Quality Control Plan and Associated Modeling

Northern California Water Association (NCWA) | January 18th, 2024

Technical Workshop on Estuarine Habitat in the Bay Delta Estuary

San Francisco Estuary Institute (SFEI) | March 27th, 2012

The Technical Workshop on Estuarine Habitat in the Bay Delta Estuary was initiated by U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), with support from the Aquatic

The Technical Workshop on Estuarine Habitat in the Bay Delta Estuary was initiated by U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), with support from the Aquatic Science Center (ASC), to obtain scientific input needed to inform EPA on California’s Comprehensive Review of the 2006 Water Quality Control Plan for the Bay Delta Estuary. Gathering a number of recognized experts on the hydrology and ecology of the Bay Delta was an efficient way to hear current knowledge on estuarine habitat, tools for modeling and assessing conditions, and how biological indicators and ecological processes respond to movement of the low salinity zone.  More specifically, the purpose of the workshop was to: Increase our collective understanding about the attributes of estuarine habitat, and the tools we have for protecting it Characterize the response of biological indicators and ecological processes to changing locations of the low salinity zone (LSZ) Generate scientific information that EPA and others can translate into recommendations that support the State’s Comprehensive Review of the 2006 Water Quality Control Plan (WQCP) for the Bay Delta Estuary The following sections describe planning for the workshop and the workshop process itself. The workshop summary condenses the input from participants during the small workgroup sessions and the final plenary session. It captures the breadth of opinions, judgments, and viewpoints expressed without attempting to fact check statements, or reconcile / synthesize disagreements or contradictions. Finally, the facilitator’s report provides my personal impressions of the workshop and the degree to which it achieved its stated purposes.

Technologies for Passing Fish at Large Dams

California Department of Water Resources (DWR) | June 1st, 2013

Given the possible conditions that may exist in Central Valley streams as the climate warms, many researchers and agencies have recognized the need to evaluate opportunit

Given the possible conditions that may exist in Central Valley streams as the climate warms, many researchers and agencies have recognized the need to evaluate opportunities to provide Central Valley salmonid species access to currently inaccessible habitat (DWR 2008, NMFS 2009, and CA Resources Agency 2009). In addition, Lindley et al. (2007) stated that in order to recover Central Valley salmonids, some populations will need to be established in areas now blocked by dams. “The state should work with dam owners and operators, federal resource management agencies, and other stakeholders to evaluate opportunities to introduce or reintroduce anadromous fish to upper watersheds. Reestablishing anadromous fish, such as salmon, upstream of dams may provide flexibility in providing cold water conditions downstream, and thereby help inform system reoperation.” (CA Resources Agency 2009) The U.S. Bureau of Reclamation dedicates over 1.2 million acre-feet of water, through operation of the Central Valley Project, to fish and wildlife. DWR releases water to meet minimum flow and temperature requirements downstream of Oroville Dam. Climate change may warm rivers and streams, with less water available for ecosystem flow and temperature needs in spring and summer (CA Resources Agency 2009). As temperatures warm, more cold water storage may be needed so that releases can be made to meet temperature requirements downstream. Providing anadromous1 fish passage to areas upstream of reservoirs could eliminate or reduce the need for cold water releases and give water managers additional flexibility in meeting downstream water supply and flood protection needs. In addition, it is prudent to consider fish passage opportunities as part of potential systems reoperations because other agencies are conducting planning efforts for fish passage ...

Temporary Urgency Change Petition for February 1, 2023, through March 31, 2023

California State Water Resources Control Board (SWRCB) | February 13th, 2023

Ten Rivers in America's Future, No. 2. The Central Valley of California

U.S. Water Resources Policy Commission | July 1st, 1950

Term 91: Stored Water Bypass Requirements

California State Water Resources Control Board (SWRCB) | April 8th, 2012

Pursuant to numerous Board decisions (D-1485, D-1641, Order 2001-05), the Projects are required to release stored water to meet water quality standards in the Delta (incl

Pursuant to numerous Board decisions (D-1485, D-1641, Order 2001-05), the Projects are required to release stored water to meet water quality standards in the Delta (including flow and salinity standards) where natural flows are insufficient. The obligation was originally placed on the Projects as an interim measure pending future studies of how the obligation to meet water quality standards would be shared with other appropriators. In return for resolving Project protests on subsequent applications to appropriate water, Term 91 was developed and made a condition to permits issued after 1965. Term 91 prohibits diversions by these Permittees when natural and abandoned flows to the Delta are insufficient to meet the water quality standards and the Projects are supplementing such flows with previously stored water to meet the standards. The purpose of this report is to explore the enhanced use and more vigorous enforcement of diversion curtailments as a means to achieve flow standards. This subject matter is relevant to the Delta even through the Projects are under a present and legal obligation to meet existing flows standards.

The Anatomy of a Drought in the Upper San Francisco Estuary: Water Quality and Lower-Trophic Responses to Multi-Year Droughts Over a Long-Term Record (1975-2021)

University of California, Davis (UC Davis) | December 23rd, 2024