Overview of the ARkStorm Scenario

U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) | January 13th, 2011

The U.S. Geological Survey, Multi Hazards Demonstration Project (MHDP) uses hazards science to improve resiliency of communities to natural disasters including ea

The U.S. Geological Survey, Multi Hazards Demonstration Project (MHDP) uses hazards science to improve resiliency of communities to natural disasters including earthquakes, tsunamis, wildfires, landslides, floods and coastal erosion. The project engages emergency planners, businesses, universities, government agencies, and others in preparing for major natural disasters. The project also helps to set research goals and provides decision-making information for loss reduction and improved resiliency. The first public product of the MHDP was the ShakeOut Earthquake Scenario published in May 2008. This detailed depiction of a hypothetical magnitude 7.8 earthquake on the San Andreas Fault in southern California served as the centerpiece of the largest earthquake drill in United States history, involving over 5,000 emergency responders and the participation of over 5.5 million citizens. This document summarizes the next major public project for MHDP, a winter storm scenario called ARkStorm (for Atmospheric River 1,000). Experts have designed a large, scientifically realistic meteorological event followed by an examination of the secondary hazards (for example, landslides and flooding), physical damages to the built environment, and social and economic consequences. The hypothetical storm depicted here would strike the U.S. West Coast and be similar to the intense California winter storms of 1861 and 1862 that left the central valley of California impassible. The storm is estimated to produce precipitation that in many places exceeds levels only experienced on average once every 500 to 1,000 years. Extensive flooding results. In many cases flooding overwhelms the state’s flood-protection system, which is typically designed to resist 100- to 200-year runoffs. The Central Valley experiences hypothetical flooding 300 miles long and 20 or more miles wide. Serious flooding also occurs in Orange County, Los Angeles County, San Diego, the San Francisco Bay area, and other coastal communities. Windspeeds in some places reach 125 miles per hour, hurricane- force winds. Across wider areas of the state, winds reach 60 miles per hour. Hundreds of landslides damage roads, highways, and homes. Property damage exceeds $300 billion, most from flooding. Demand surge (an increase in labor rates and other repair costs after major natural disasters) could increase property losses by 20 percent. Agricultural losses and other costs to repair lifelines, dewater (drain) flooded islands, and repair damage from landslides, brings the total direct property loss to nearly $400 billion, of which $20 to $30 billion would be recoverable through public and commercial insurance. Power, water, sewer, and other lifelines experience damage that takes weeks or months to restore. Flooding evacuation could involve 1.5 million residents in the inland region and delta counties. Business interruption costs reach $325 billion in addition to the $400 billion property repair costs, meaning that an ARkStorm could cost on the order of $725 billion, which is nearly 3 times the loss deemed to be realistic by the ShakeOut authors for a severe southern California earthquake, an event with roughly the same annual occurrence probability. The ARkStorm has several public policy implications: (1) An ARkStorm raises serious questions about the ability of existing federal, state, and local disaster planning to handle a disaster of this magnitude. (2) A core policy issue raised is whether to pay now to mitigate, or pay a lot more later for recovery. (3) Innovative financing solutions are likely to be needed to avoid fiscal crisis and adequately fund response and recovery costs from a similar, real, disaster. (4) Responders and government managers at all levels could be encouraged to conduct risk assessments, and devise the full spectrum of exercises, to exercise ability of their plans to address a similar event. (5) ARkStorm can be a reference point for application of Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) and California Emergency Management Agency guidance connecting federal, state and local natural hazards mapping and mitigation planning under the National Flood Insurance Plan and Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000. (6) Common messages to educate the public about the risk of such an extreme disaster as the ARkStorm scenario could be developed and consistently communicated to facilitate policy formulation and transformation. These impacts were estimated by a team of 117 scientists, engineers, public-policy experts, insurance experts, and employees of the affected lifelines. In many aspects the ARkStorm produced new science, such as the model of coastal inundation. The products of the ARkStorm are intended for use by emergency planners, utility operators, policymakers, and others to inform preparedness plans and to enhance resiliency.

Overview on Central Valley Project Financing, Cost Allocation, and Repayment Issues

Delta Vision Blue Ribbon Task Force (Delta Vision) | September 18th, 2008

As part of its strategic plan, the Delta Vision Task Force is considering in detail the entire California water infrastructure. This report summarizes and expands upon

As part of its strategic plan, the Delta Vision Task Force is considering in detail the entire California water infrastructure. This report summarizes and expands upon four individual reports prepared for the Task Force on the financial characteristics and status of the Central Valley Project (CVP). It begins with an overview of CVP history, organization, costs, and repayment. It then focuses on the overall repayment responsibilities of irrigation and municipal and industrial (M&I) contractors as well as those responsibilities specifically for Sacramento Valley and San Joaquin Valley water users. Next is a review of the summary financial statements of the 10 largest San Joaquin Valley contractors based on reports filed with the California State Controller. Following is a discussion of CVP power generation revenues, expenditures, and repayment. The report is then summarized and conclusions presented, with subsequent appendices showing detailed financial statements and repayment responsibilities by individual contractors; and information on power sales over time to various users.

Owens Valley Groundwater Basin Final Groundwater Sustainability Plan

Owens Valley Groundwater Authority | December 9th, 2021

The Owens Valley Groundwater Basin and Fish Slough subbasin (Basin) were assigned a low priority status by the California Department of Water Resources (DWR) and are not

The Owens Valley Groundwater Basin and Fish Slough subbasin (Basin) were assigned a low priority status by the California Department of Water Resources (DWR) and are not required to be managed by a Groundwater Sustainability Agency (GSA). GSAs in low priority basins are encouraged to complete a GSP. Following the adoption of the Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (SGMA), the Basin was originally ranked as medium priority, but DWR proposed it be assigned high priority and ultimately ranked the Basin as low priority in December 2019. Despite the uncertainty in the Basin ranking before the final ranking was announced the Owens Valley Groundwater Authority (OVGA) elected to prepare a GSP for the Basin. This document is the GSP, and it was developed in accordance with Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (SGMA) statutory and regulatory requirements. This GSP describes the Basin, develops quantifiable management objectives that account for the interests of beneficial groundwater uses and users, and identifies a group of management actions that will maintain sustainable conditions in the Basin for 20 years after plan adoption. This GSP also contains steps a GSA could undertake to manage pumping to address declining water levels in a portion of the Basin. Preparation and implementation of the GSP by the OVGA is discretionary as long as the Basin remains very low or low priority. This GSP does not pertain to lands in the Basin that are exempt from SGMA, e.g. Federal and state owned lands, Tribal Reservations, and Los Angeles Department of Water and Power (LADWP) lands managed pursuant to the Long Term Water Agreement (LTWA). LADWP lands in Inyo County are referred to as adjudicated; other lands in the Basin are referred to as GSP lands in this document. Los Angeles-owned lands in the Basin in Mono County are not exempt from SGMA. Due to size, the file has been divided into five parts. Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, Part 4, Part 5

Pajaro Valley Basin Management Plan Groundwater Sustainability Update 2022

Pajaro Valley Water Management Agency (PVWMA) | November 17th, 2021

Pajaro Valley Water Management Agency Basin Management Plan Update

Pajaro Valley Water Management Agency (PVWMA) | February 14th, 2014

Pajaro Valley Water Management Agency Revised Management Plan

Pajaro Valley Water Management Agency (PVWMA) | February 14th, 2002

Paso Robles Subbasin Groundwater Sustainability Plan

Paso Robles Subbasin Cooperative Committee | November 13th, 2019

Paso Robles Subbasin Groundwater Sustainability Plan (Revised)

Paso Robles Subbasin Groundwater Sustainability Agencies | June 13th, 2022

This Groundwater Sustainability Plan (GSP) fulfills the requirements of the Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (SGMA) for the Paso Robles Subbasin of the Salinas Vall

This Groundwater Sustainability Plan (GSP) fulfills the requirements of the Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (SGMA) for the Paso Robles Subbasin of the Salinas Valley Basin. The sustainability goal of this GSP is to sustainably manage the groundwater resources of the Paso Robles Subbasin for long-term community, financial, and environmental benefit of Subbasin users. This GSP outlines the approach to achieve a sustainable groundwater resource free of undesirable results within 20 years, while maintaining the unique cultural, community, and business aspects of the Subbasin. In adopting this GSP, it is the express goal of the GSAs to balance the needs of all groundwater users in the Subbasin, within the sustainable limits of the Subbasin’s resources. The GSP describes the Paso Robles Subbasin, develops quantifiable management objectives that consider the interests of the Subbasin’s beneficial groundwater uses and users, and identifies management actions and conceptual projects that will allow the Subbasin to achieve sustainability by 2040. This GSP covers the entire Paso Robles Subbasin. The Paso Robles Subbasin GSP has been jointly developed by four Groundwater Sustainability Agencies (GSAs): • City of Paso Robles GSA • Paso Basin - County of San Luis Obispo GSA • San Miguel Community Services District (CSD) GSA • Shandon - San Juan GSA Submitted to the California Department of Water Resources (DWR) in January 2021, the first version of this GSP was reviewed by DWR in January 2022 and determined to be incomplete (DWR, 2022). Corrective actions were provided by DWR for two identified deficiencies; these corrective actions are incorporated into this June 13, 2022 GSP for resubmittal to DWR. Due to size, this file has been divided. Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, Part 4, Part 5, Part 6

Paso Robles vineyard irrigation study provides benchmark data to assist future area groundwater management

California Agriculture (UCANR) | March 13th, 2018

Accurate information on irrigation water usage does not exist in many areas where groundwater is the primary water source. This lack of information will hinder

Accurate information on irrigation water usage does not exist in many areas where groundwater is the primary water source. This lack of information will hinder efforts to manage these groundwater basins sustainably according to current and future water regulations and policies. Using a low-cost methodology of irrigation-line pressure sensors connected to data loggers, we estimated irrigation applications at 84 vineyard sites in the Paso Robles Groundwater Basin over 4 years (2010–2013). We compared irrigation amounts with the preceding winter’s rainfall and with the growing season reference evapotranspiration (ETo). Over the study period, the average annual irrigation application was 11.46 inches (291 millimeters). The average annual application correlated inversely to the preceding winter’s rainfall, while the irrigation over the growing season (April–October) correlated directly with the ETo over this same period. This study provides an initial data framework that can be used by groundwater sustainability agencies to help manage groundwater in the Paso Robles area. The methodology also could be utilized in other regions to estimate regional irrigation usage while maintaining anonymity for participants.

Pathways and Barriers to Corporate Water Stewardship in the Colorado River Basin

Pacific Institute | October 24th, 2023

The Colorado River is the lifeblood of the American West. It supports 30 Native American tribes and farms, cities, and ecosystems in seven US states—Arizona, California

The Colorado River is the lifeblood of the American West. It supports 30 Native American tribes and farms, cities, and ecosystems in seven US states—Arizona, California, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming—and the Mexican states of Baja California and Sonora. However, the river is in crisis. Twenty-three years of drought, the over-allocation of water, and climate change have exacerbated a structural deficit—where more water leaves the system than enters it—for the tribes, communities, and ecosystems that depend on the Colorado River. To advance water resilience in the Colorado River Basin (Basin), accelerated action and investment are required from all sectors. These efforts must be strategic, coordinated, and amplified to effectively tackle the Basin’s challenges. Corporations can play a key role through their operations and supply chains, and by co-funding innovative projects. While a subset of leading companies is engaging in corporate water stewardship (CWS) in the Basin, more is needed to meet the magnitude of the water crisis at hand. This report outlines barriers and pathways to CWS in the Basin based on 20 interviews with corporate and non-corporate stakeholders from February to April 2022, and interviewee feedback on the results. The report is part of a broader Pacific Institute effort to advance CWS in the Basin. We are using these findings to prioritize CWS projects, initiatives, and approaches to pilot and scale in the Basin. More broadly, the findings are applicable to moving CWS toward building long-term water resilience in the Basin and other water-stressed basins around the world.