Warming accelerates global drought severity

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | June 4th, 2025

Drought is one of the most common and complex natural hazards affecting the environment, economies and populations globally. However, there are significant uncertainties

Drought is one of the most common and complex natural hazards affecting the environment, economies and populations globally. However, there are significant uncertainties in global drought trends and a limited understanding of the extent to which a key driver, atmospheric evaporative demand (AED), impacts the recent evolution of the magnitude, frequency, duration and areal extent of droughts. Here, by developing an ensemble of high-resolution global drought datasets for 1901–2022, we find an increasing trend in drought severity worldwide. Our findings suggest that AED has increased drought severity by an average of 40% globally. Not only are typically dry regions becoming drier but also wet areas are experiencing drying trends. During the past 5 years (2018–2022), the areas in drought have expanded by 74% on average compared with 1981–2017, with AED contributing to 58% of this increase. The year 2022 was record-breaking, with 30% of the global land area affected by moderate and extreme droughts, 42% of which was attributed to increased AED. Our findings indicate that AED has an increasingly important role in driving severe droughts and that this tendency will likely continue under future warming scenarios.

Water Ages Explain Tradeoffs Between Long-Term Evapotranspiration and Ecosystem Drought Resilience

American Geophysical Union (AGU) | May 23rd, 2023

Water and climate: Recognize anthropogenic drought

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | August 27th, 2015

Water Forward 2024 Plan Report - Austin's 100 Year Plan

City of Austin | December 6th, 2024

Water Forward 2024 is Austin’s 100-year integrated water resource plan. The purpose of Water Forward is to develop and implement diverse and environmentally conscious w

Water Forward 2024 is Austin’s 100-year integrated water resource plan. The purpose of Water Forward is to develop and implement diverse and environmentally conscious water management strategies to adapt to growth, drought, and climate change and ensure a sustainable, resilient, equitable, and affordable water future for our community for the next 100 years. Austin Water has developed this plan to address near- and long-term water needs through a collaborative process in alignment with guiding principles crafted to reflect the Austin community’s values. 

Water Reliability in the West - 2021 SECURE Water Act Report

U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (USBR) | January 4th, 2021

The Bureau of Reclamation (Reclamation) is the largest wholesaler of water in the country. Reclamation delivers water for municipal, agricultural, tribal, and environment

The Bureau of Reclamation (Reclamation) is the largest wholesaler of water in the country. Reclamation delivers water for municipal, agricultural, tribal, and environmental water uses, including providing one out of five farmers in the Western United States (West) with irrigation water for 10 million acres of farmland that produce 60 percent of the Nation’s vegetables and 25 percent of its fruits and nuts. The Omnibus Public Land Management Act of 2009 (Public Law 111-11), Subtitle F of Title IX of the Act (Science and Engineering to Comprehensively Understand and Responsibly Enhance [SECURE] Water Act) recognizes that changes to temperature, precipitation (rainfall and snowfall), and the timing and quantity of snowpack and runoff pose a significant challenge to the protection and use of water resources. Every 5 years, Reclamation submits a report to Congress under the SECURE Water Act that analyzes projected risks to water supplies in the West using the best available science and highlights collaborative efforts to mitigate those risks. This Water Reliability in the West - 2021 SECURE Water Act Report (2021 Report) provides a West-wide assessment of expected changes to water supplies, uses, and demands; highlights progress; and describes actions taken to increase water supply reliability since the 2016 SECURE Water Act Report. Reclamation has a broad range of programs and projects that help increase the reliability of water and power deliveries. Our activities include science and research, planning, infrastructure sustainability, efficient hydropower production, and on-the-ground actions to increase reliable water supplies to meet water demands. These activities are undertaken in collaboration with our customers, stakeholders, and partners. In the West, competing demands for water for farms, cities, Tribes, the environment, recreation, hydropower, and other uses can lead to conflict. Conflict escalates particularly during droughts, which are expected to be more frequent and severe with climate change. Fostering strong relationships is essential to carry out Reclamation’s everyday operations, conduct long-term planning efforts, and avoid unnecessary conflicts. Reclamation operators and planners rely on information about precipitation, snowpack, streamflow, temperatures, water demands, and groundwater to make informed decisions. Reclamation’s 2021 West-Wide Climate and Hydrology Assessment (2021 Assessment) builds on our 2011 and 2016 West-wide assessments of future temperature and precipitation change by using several complementary approaches, including analyses based in paleohydrology derived from tree rings (dendochronology) that help answer this question: “If droughts in the distant past were to occur today, how would water systems perform?” With our Federal, State, Tribal, and local partners, we address challenges resulting from climate change and shifting demographics. We use a multi-faceted approach to support reliable water and hydropower deliveries; to help maintain healthy ecosystems; to protect federally-listed fish, wildlife, and plants, as well as designated critical habitat; and to manage risks (e.g., droughts, floods, and fires). Implementing the SECURE Water Act has served as a catalyst for collaboration and innovation, improving our understanding of climate change impacts to water resources and our ability to address those impacts.

Water resource utilization and future supply–demand scenarios in energy cities of semi-arid regions

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | February 11th, 2025

Analyzing the characteristics of water resource utilization and forecasting future supply–demand dynamics are of great practical significance for water resource plannin

Analyzing the characteristics of water resource utilization and forecasting future supply–demand dynamics are of great practical significance for water resource planning and allocation. This study focuses on the water supply–demand challenges in energy cities located in semi-arid regions, using Qingyang City as a case study. The future water demand of various sectors was simulated and projected, and the supply–demand balance under different socioeconomic and climate scenarios was analyzed using the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways framework combined with climate model data. This research addresses the gap in the existing literature concerning the analysis of water supply–demand structures in energy cities under climate change and provides scientific support for regional sustainable development. The results show that: (1) Over the past 20 years, water supply and utilization in Qingyang City have exhibited significant growth trends, with agricultural water use continuously increasing, industrial water use fluctuating, domestic water use remaining stable, and ecological water use growing significantly; (2) From 2024 to 2035, the water demand of various sectors is projected to change substantially, with agricultural and ecological water use being highly sensitive to scenario configurations; (3) Under high economic growth scenarios, Qingyang City is likely to face severe water shortages.

Water Risk Hotspots for Agriculture: The Case of the Southwest United States

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) | July 14th, 2016

The Southwest United States – defined here as Arizona, California, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, and Utah – is a rapidly growing region that faces major water challe

The Southwest United States – defined here as Arizona, California, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, and Utah – is a rapidly growing region that faces major water challenges. It has the fastest growing population and one of the most economically productive regions of the United States. It is also the most arid region and is prone to long-term droughts. These dry conditions, combined with a water allocation system based on prior appropriation — whereby the “first in time” is the “first in line” to access water — generate tension between stable or declining sectors of the economy that hold the majority of the rights to water and the fast-growing sectors of the economy that have more limited water rights. The Southwest provides a case study of the challenges posed by limited water availability and some of the successful methods used to bridge the gap between water supply and demand.

Water Supply Conditions in Southern California during 1958-1959, Volume II, Water Level Data, Central Coastal and Los Angeles Regions

California Department of Water Resources (DWR) | May 1st, 1961

Water Transfers in Water Resource Systems

American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) | March 1st, 1995

Water transfers are a common component of many regional water systems and are being increasingly considered for meeting growing water demands and for managing the impacts

Water transfers are a common component of many regional water systems and are being increasingly considered for meeting growing water demands and for managing the impacts of drought.  Water transfers can take many forms and can serve a number of different purposes in the planning and operation of water resource systems. However, to be successful, water transfers must be carefully integrated with traditional water supply augmentation and demand management measures.  This integration requires increased cooperation among different water use sectors and resolution of numerous technical and institutional issues, including impacts to third parties.  This paper identifies the many forms that water transfers can take, some of the benefits they can generate, and the difficulties and constraints which must be overcome in their implementation.

Water Year 2017: What a Difference a Year Makes

California Department of Water Resources (DWR) | October 2nd, 2017

Water year 2017 (October 1, 2016 to September 30, 2017) dramatically illustrated the variability in California’s annual precipitation, ending the state’s 5-year droug

Water year 2017 (October 1, 2016 to September 30, 2017) dramatically illustrated the variability in California’s annual precipitation, ending the state’s 5-year drought and coming in at second place for statewide runoff, behind the wettest year of 1983. Virtually all of the state experienced at least average precipitation, and key Sierra Nevada watersheds were much above average. Governor Brown lifted the proclamation of statewide drought emergency he issued in 2014, although the state-declared emergency remained in selected central California counties experiencing lingering drought impacts. Prior to 2017, California had experienced a decade of largely dry conditions. Eight of the ten preceding water years were dry, and the water years of 2012-15 set a record for the driest consecutive four-year period of statewide precipitation.