Time-lagged impacts of extreme, multi-year drought on tidal salt marsh plant invasion

Ecological Society of America (ESA) | June 11th, 2020

Climate change is projected to increase the frequency of extreme drought events, which can have dramatic consequences for ecosystems. Extreme drought may interact with o

Climate change is projected to increase the frequency of extreme drought events, which can have dramatic consequences for ecosystems. Extreme drought may interact with other stressors such as invasion by non-native species, yet little research has explored these dynamics. Here, we examine the physical mechanisms and temporal scale underlying a dieback of an invasive non-native plant, Lepidium latifolium, in tidal salt marshes of the San Francisco Bay, California, USA, during an extreme, multi-year drought occurring from 2012 to 2015. Using generalized additive mixed models (GAMMs), we explored the relationship between eight years of estuarine salinity data and five years of L. latifolium density data from three marshes spanning a gradient of salinity across the San Francisco Bay. We found a significant time-lagged (3 yr) effect of estuarine salinity on L. latifolium density, with high salinities preceding reductions in L. latifolium densities and low salinities preceding increases. The most dramatic change in stem density, a 54% reduction in 2015, was preceded by a salinity increase of 43% from 2011 to 2012. We found the L. latifolium decline was driven by impacts on mature, rather than young, plants. Additionally, we tested the importance of local precipitation in driving L. latifolium densities in a one-season rain exclusion experiment. We found 100% exclusion of precipitation during one rainy season (January–mid-May) did not have a significant impact on densities of mature stands of L. latifolium. Our finding that estuarine salinity was a key driver of L. latifolium invasion dynamics suggests sea level rise, like extreme drought, may hinder L. latifolium invasion, as it will also raise estuarine salinities. Further, our study highlights the importance of temporal lags in understanding climate change impacts on biological invasions, which has received very little study to date.

To Stop Desert Encroachment

Scientific American | November 1st, 1938

When Spanish vaqueros first entered the interior valley of California they saw only a vast expanse of desert, broken infrequently by patches of green vegetation a

When Spanish vaqueros first entered the interior valley of California they saw only a vast expanse of desert, broken infrequently by patches of green vegetation along the water courses. Little did they dream that in a span of two generations the region would become one of the world's garden spots, the home of thousands of prosperous families, and the source of millions of tons of food products known around the world. They did not envision the romance and adventure that marked the development of this great inland empire-now a two billion dollar agricultural wonderland built by irrigation and wholly dependent upon a single natural resource-water.

Total Water Management Study for the Central Valley Basin, California, Central Valley Project Intermittent Surface Water Supply, Working Document No. 6

U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (USBR) | April 1st, 1975

Total Water Management Study for the Central Valley Basin, California, Central Valley Project Water Yield Risk Working Document No. 5

U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (USBR) | February 1st, 1975

Total Water Management Study for the Central Valley Basin, California, Interim Water Supply Working Document No. 9

U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (USBR) | March 1st, 1976

Toward a Preemptive Ecology for Rapid, Global, and Increasingly Irreversible Environmental Change: A Discussion Paper with Implications for Research and Management in the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta

Delta Stewardship Council (Delta Council) | November 15th, 2019

People have extensively modified the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta since the 1850s. Rapid change is not new, but the nature of rapid change that is beginning to be experie

People have extensively modified the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta since the 1850s. Rapid change is not new, but the nature of rapid change that is beginning to be experienced has new qualities. The Delta Independent Science Board, working in conjunction with the Delta Science Program and the Delta Plan Interagency Implementation Committee, is assessing the adequacy of environmental and ecological research in the Delta, how well that research is addressing emerging challenges, and how it might be improved. This paper is a part of that process. Each member of the Delta Independent Science Board has contributed to this document, but there is not a consensus among the members around the full content of this paper. This paper is written to inform and stimulate discussion around controversial yet important issues. 

Towards the Protection, Restoration, and Enhancement of the Delta Ecosystem: A Synthesis

Delta Stewardship Council (Delta Council) | March 15th, 2018

Towards the Protection, Restoration, and Enhancement of the Delta Ecosystem: A Synthesis. Appendix A: Summary of Existing Habitat and Species-Specific Plans, Strategies, and Management Approaches

Delta Stewardship Council (Delta Council) | March 15th, 2018

Tracking Organic Matter in Delta Drinking Water

CALFED | April 1st, 2008

Tracking Where Water Goes in a Changing Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta

Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) | May 26th, 2022

Click here for the accompanying Technical Appendix.

Click here for the accompanying Technical Appendix.