Drought Attribution Studies and Water Resources Management

American Meteorological Society (AMS) | February 16th, 2023

Emergent Trends Complicate the Interpretation of the United States Drought Monitor (USDM)

American Geophysical Union (AGU) | April 25th, 2024

Effective drought management must be informed by an understanding of whether and how current drought monitoring and assessment practices represent underlying nonstationar

Effective drought management must be informed by an understanding of whether and how current drought monitoring and assessment practices represent underlying nonstationary climate conditions, either naturally occurring or forced by climate change. Here we investigate the emerging climatology and associated trends in drought classes defined by the United States Drought Monitor (USDM), a weekly product that, since 2000, has been used to inform drought management in the United States. The USDM classifies drought intensity based in part on threshold percentiles in key hydroclimate quantities. Here we assess how those USDM‐defined drought threshold percentiles have changed over the last 23 years, examining precipitation, runoff, soil moisture (SM), terrestrial water storage (TWS), vapor pressure deficit (VPD), and near‐surface air temperature. We also assess underlying trends in the frequency of drought classifications across the U.S. Our analysis suggests that the frequency of drought class occurrence is exceeding the threshold percentiles defined by the USDM in a number of regions in the United States, particularly in the American West, where the last 23 years have emerged as a prolonged dry period. These trends are also reflected in percentile‐based thresholds in precipitation, runoff, SM, TWS, VPD, and temperature. Our results emphasize that while the USDM appears to be accurately reflecting observed nonstationarity in the physical climate, such trends raise critical questions about whether and how drought diagnosis, classification, and monitoring should address long‐term intervals of wet and dry periods or trends

Estuary-wide Data Repository for Delta Environmental Data to Understand a California Estuary Poster (2017)

San Francisco Estuary Institute (SFEI) | July 1st, 2017

The Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta (Delta) has some of the most pressing water supply and natural resource management issues facing California. The Delta Environmental Da

The Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta (Delta) has some of the most pressing water supply and natural resource management issues facing California. The Delta Environmental Data for the Understanding a California Estuary (DEDUCE), a collaborative project building upon the 2014 Environmental Data Summit vision, initiated a forum to integrate disparate data from multiple sources along with legacy data not uploaded to any of the State’s data-sharing systems. DEDUCE collected legacy toxic contaminant data from the Delta according to rigorous business rules, uploaded the data to the expanded estuary-wide data repository, and established design standards to exchange datasets with the California Environmental Data Exchange Network (CEDEN), a contributor to the US Environmental Protection Agency’s Water Quality Exchange (WQX). This data integration effort liberated accurate, accessible, and synthesized data for scientists and decision-makers as a foundation to inform management actions with the best available science

Estuary-Wide Data Repository for the Delta Environmental Data to Understand a California Estuary

San Francisco Estuary Institute (SFEI) | July 1st, 2017

The Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta (Delta) is the backdrop for some of the most pressing water supply and natural resource management issues facing California. To navigate

The Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta (Delta) is the backdrop for some of the most pressing water supply and natural resource management issues facing California. To navigate such matters comprehensively with transparency, and rigor, it is important to ensure broad dissemination of data. An Environmental Data Summit held in 2014 created a new era in information management and knowledge discoveries, and shed light on challenges associated with the use of disparate datasets. The Delta Environmental Data for the Understanding a California Estuary (DEDUCE), a collaborative project, builds upon the Data Summit vision and initiated a forum to integrate disparate data from multiple sources and legacy data that are currently not in any of the State’s data sharing systems. DEDUCE expanded the existing infrastructure to house water quality data from the Delta to address management questions by identifying and collecting high priority data according to rigorous business rules and mapping these data to a central system. This important step of harmonizing the data improves its interoperability and increases the access to and exchange of high-quality environmental data. DEDUCE facilitates the upload, aggregation and display of data in tools such as those created under the auspices of the California Water Quality Monitoring Council, including EcoAtlas and My Water Quality Portals, and CD3: Contaminant Data Display and Download tool for accessing and visualizing data comparable to State standards. DEDUCE achieved collecting and uploading the legacy and toxic contaminant data, and established design standards to exchange future datasets from the initial data storage or database to California Environmental Data Exchange Network (CEDEN). This data integration effort created accurate, accessible, and synthesized data for scientists and decision-makers as a foundation to inform management actions with the best available science.

Evaluating the Accuracy of Reclamation’s 24-Month Study Lake Powell Projections

Utah State University | February 18th, 2022

The bias for inflow predictions will likely be reduced now that the reference period includes a more recent, and somewhat drier, span of time, but projections of future i

The bias for inflow predictions will likely be reduced now that the reference period includes a more recent, and somewhat drier, span of time, but projections of future inflows are likely to remain biased, because the hydrology of the 1991-2020 reference period was still wetter than the current Millennium Drought.

Exit here: Strategies for dealing with aging dams and reservoirs

Aquatic Sciences (Springer) | October 22nd, 2019

Aging infrastructure is prevalent throughout the world, but water control management structures, specifically dams, are of growing concern. Dams and their corresponding r

Aging infrastructure is prevalent throughout the world, but water control management structures, specifically dams, are of growing concern. Dams and their corresponding reservoirs have inherent, but separate, lifespans. The proportion of dams around the world that continue operation beyond their intended lifespans is growing at an alarming rate. Society will not only have to navigate the tradeoffs associated with the deterioration of services provided by reservoirs and dams, but also impending structural failures. Society is nearing a critical pinch point where we will have to decide how to deal with dams and reservoirs at scales that range from a single system to multiple systems in large watersheds. No comprehensive strategy exists to inform both the range of actions that can be applied to such infrastructure and how such actions would influence biophysical, socioeconomic, and geopolitical tradeoffs. The development of proactive exit strategies is a critical first step in ensuring controlled transitions for aging dams and reservoirs. Herein, we present an overview of actions and considerations for aging dams and reservoirs, followed by an initial framework for exit strategy development to launch a further discussion on how society could deal with this aging infrastructure.

Exploring scientific and management implications of upper trophic level food webs in the Delta

Delta Stewardship Council (Delta Council) | April 17th, 2024

The Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta (the Delta) has complex and evolving ecosystems characterized by multiple food webs that vary in time and space. Here, food webs are defi

The Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta (the Delta) has complex and evolving ecosystems characterized by multiple food webs that vary in time and space. Here, food webs are defined as the network of species interactions (competition, predation) and interactions with their environment that are related through the flow of energy through the ecosystem (e.g., Paine 1980). Physical modifications, in addition to the introduction of non-native species and the changing climate, have significantly altered the structure and energetic pathways of the food webs for decades. The science clearly suggests that predicting the impacts of habitat restoration, fisheries, changes in environmental drivers (e.g., climate, changes in nutrient loading, invasive species) on the ecological carrying capacity and productivity of the Delta, as well as the bioaccumulation of contaminants on species or the ecosystem, requires an understanding of food web processes.

Fish-Habitat Relationships Along the Estuarine Gradient of the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta, California: Implications for Habitat Restoration

Estuaries and Coasts (Springer) | June 6th, 2018

Estuaries are highly variable environments where fish are subjected to a diverse suite of habitat features (e.g., water quality gradients, physical structure) that filt

Estuaries are highly variable environments where fish are subjected to a diverse suite of habitat features (e.g., water quality gradients, physical structure) that filter local assemblages from a broader, regional species pool. Tidal, climatological, and oceanographic phenomena drive water quality gradients and, ultimately, expose individuals to other habitat features (e.g., stationary physical or biological elements, such as bathymetry or vegetation). Relationships between fish abundances, water quality gradients, and other habitat features in the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta were examined as a case example to learn how habitat features serve as filters to structure local assemblages in large river-dominated estuaries. Fish communities were sampled in four tidal lakes along the estuarine gradient during summer-fall 2010 and 2011 and relationships with habitat features explored using ordination and generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs). Based on ordination results, landscape-level gradients in salinity, turbidity, and elevation were associated with distinct fish assemblages among tidal lakes. Native fishes were associated with increased salinity and turbidity, and decreased elevation. Within tidal lakes, GLMM results demonstrated that submersed aquatic vegetation density was the dominant driver of individual fish species densities. Both native and non-native species were associated with submersed aquatic vegetation, although native and non-native fish populations only minimally overlapped. These results help to provide a framework for predicting fish species assemblages in novel or changing habitats as they indicate that species assemblages are driven by a combination of location within the estuarine gradient and site-specific habitat features.

Flows and Fishes in the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta Research Needs in Support of Adaptive Management

Delta Stewardship Council (Delta Council) | August 15th, 2015

Fracturing dams, fractured data: Empirical trends and characteristics of existing and removed dams in the United States

River Research and Applications (Wiley) | May 20th, 2018

Dam removals in the United States continue to accelerate in pace and scope, but no national analyses have examined how removed dams compare with existing dam stock. Here,

Dam removals in the United States continue to accelerate in pace and scope, but no national analyses have examined how removed dams compare with existing dam stock. Here, we review and analyse the best available national data on dams from the National Inventory of Dams (NID), dam removals from American Rivers, the U.S. Geological Survey, and the National River Restoration Science Synthesis databases to compare trends and characteristics of removed versus existing dams in the United States. If historical trends continue, by 2050 the United States can expect between 4,000 and 36,000 total removals, including 2,000–10,000 removals of NID dams. Best‐fit regression models estimate total costs between $50.5 million and $25.1 billion (mean $10.5 billion, median $416.5 million) for all removals and $29.6 million to $18.9 billion (mean $7.2 billion, median $285 million) for NID removals, a significant cost savings over present stated dam rehabilitation needs. Structural characteristics and ages of documented removals are not representative of existing dams, with privately owned hydroelectric dams subject to public oversight and water supply dams the most disproportionately removed. We conclude that dam removal science would benefit from the creation of an interdisciplinary framework for studying dams as environmental, social, and technological interventions, facilitated by transparent datasets around dams and removals and reflexive research approaches that combine statistical approaches with place‐based analyses.