San Francisco Bay

Human-wildlife conflict is amplified during periods of drought

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) | November 12th, 2025

Climate change–induced alterations to human-wildlife interactions are recognized to pose a fundamental challenge for global conservation initiatives. However, the exten

Climate change–induced alterations to human-wildlife interactions are recognized to pose a fundamental challenge for global conservation initiatives. However, the extent to which specific climatic disturbances influence dynamics of human-wildlife conflict across different taxonomic groups remains poorly understood. Here, we leverage an extensive dataset of community-derived human-wildlife conflict incidents to examine the influence of drought, represented by the variation in summed precipitation over the prior 12 months, on conflict reporting. We show that prolonged decreases in precipitation are associated with increased overall conflict occurrences across taxa and are significantly associated with increased conflict with carnivore species in particular. A future with increasingly severe and frequent droughts could lead to resource scarcity that not only causes conflict between humans but also between humans and the natural world around them.

Hydroclimate Report Water Year 2018

California Department of Water Resources (DWR) | March 31st, 2020

Water year (WY) 2018 whipsawed from dry to wet and added high heat for the summer. The WY ended with 82 percent of average precipitation in the Northern Sierra and 20 per

Water year (WY) 2018 whipsawed from dry to wet and added high heat for the summer. The WY ended with 82 percent of average precipitation in the Northern Sierra and 20 percent below average April-July streamflow in the Sacramento River and 19 percent below average for the San Joaquin River. Peak statewide snowpack was only 60 percent of average. While precipitation and stream flow were below average, the big story of the 2018 WY were record temperatures that lead to several unprecedented and deadly wildfires in the state.

Hydroclimate Report Water Year 2019

California Department of Water Resources (DWR) | June 30th, 2020

Water year (WY) 2019 continued to demonstrate effects of climate change with greater variability and more extremes. Hydroclimate extremes presented themselves with atmosp

Water year (WY) 2019 continued to demonstrate effects of climate change with greater variability and more extremes. Hydroclimate extremes presented themselves with atmospheric rivers causing both flooding and heavy snowpack. Before the wet winter and spring months, California experienced a very dry fall in where the devastating Camp Fire started on November 8, 2018 in Butte County. Fall transitioned to into a wet winter with 64 percent of the WY total for the DWR Northern 8-station index falling in the three months of January, February and March. Temperatures went from extreme cold in February to hot in August as the year progressed from winter to summer.

Hydroclimate Report Water Year 2020

California Department of Water Resources (DWR) | August 31st, 2021

Water Year (WY) 2020 continued to demonstrate the climate change narrative of greater variability and more extremes. In both precipitation and temperature, there were ne

Water Year (WY) 2020 continued to demonstrate the climate change narrative of greater variability and more extremes. In both precipitation and temperature, there were new extremes with a very dry February and very hot end to the water year. Late fall precipitation onset continued with the first significant storm of the year arriving in late November. The WY ended with 67 percent of average precipitation statewide and 62 percent of average in the Northern Sierra. For runoff, the Sacramento Basin had 66 percent of average April-July streamflow while the San Joaquin Basin had 58 percent of average. Peak statewide snowpack was 62 percent of average reaching that point in early April with a late season storm providing some offset to the winter’s dryness. February was one of the big stories of WY 2020 with record low precipitation. In a year of extremes, August and September also contributed record warmth for the month including a 130-degree Fahrenheit reading at Death Valley on August 16, 2020. This observation, if verified by the World Meteorological Organization, would be one of the hottest daily temperature maximums recorded on Earth. Several cities set new records for days above 90 degrees as well.

Hydroclimate Report Water Year 2021

California Department of Water Resources (DWR) | December 31st, 2022

Water year (WY) 2021 added to the climate change narrative with extreme dryness leading to record setting drought conditions. In both precipitation and temperature, there

Water year (WY) 2021 added to the climate change narrative with extreme dryness leading to record setting drought conditions. In both precipitation and temperature, there were new extremes with a record dry and warm spring being most notable. Late fall onset occurred again this year arriving in late November starting the seasonal snowpack on very dry soils. The WY ended with 48 percent of average precipitation statewide making it the second driest year in 126 years of record. It was also second warmest for statewide average temperature. For two-year totals, WY 2021 set a record, recording less precipitation than WY 1977. There was only one significant storm in the WY in late January which included low elevation snow and very strong damaging winds. The April 1 statewide snowpack registered 62% of average. Peak snowpack at 64% of average occurred the week before April 1. Runoff from the snowpack was far below expectations due to the dry antecedent conditions and record dry and warm spring. The lack of runoff resulted in the need for emergency drought response measures.

Hydroclimate Report Water Year 2022

California Department of Water Resources (DWR) | October 1st, 2024

Hydroclimate volatility on a warming Earth

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | January 9th, 2025

Hydrodynamic and Water Quality Model Calibration and Application in San Francisco Bay

San Francisco Estuary Institute (SFEI) | September 3rd, 2018

To answer management questions about nutrient related water quality in San Francisco Bay, hydrodynamic and biogeochemical models have been developed. This report outline

To answer management questions about nutrient related water quality in San Francisco Bay, hydrodynamic and biogeochemical models have been developed. This report outlines the development of both of these models. Section 2 is the description and validation of the hydrodynamic model, previously completed in December 2017 for the San Francisco Bay Interim Model Validation Report, but included here for completeness. Section 3 of this report covers the description and validation the biogeochemical model.

Hydrodynamic Model Development Report: Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta and Suisun Bay (Water Year 2016)

San Francisco Estuary Institute (SFEI) | December 13th, 2019

This report describes work related to hydrodynamic model development for the San Francisco Bay-Delta Estuary, undertaken as part of a broader eort to develop and apply co

This report describes work related to hydrodynamic model development for the San Francisco Bay-Delta Estuary, undertaken as part of a broader eort to develop and apply coupled biogeochemical-hydrodynamic models to inform nutrient management decisions. The primary intended application of the hydrodynamic model output is for use as input to an offline coupled biogeochemical model to simulate a wide range of state variables and processes, including: advective and dispersive transport, nutrient transformations, phytoplankton production, benthic and pelagic grazing, sediment diagenesis, and oxygen cycling.

Hydrodynamics and habitat interact to structure fish communities within terminal channels of a tidal freshwater delta

Ecological Society of America (Wiley) | January 13th, 2023

Terminal channels were historically a common feature of tidal delta ecosystems but have become increasingly rare as landscapes have been modified. Tidal hydrodynamics are

Terminal channels were historically a common feature of tidal delta ecosystems but have become increasingly rare as landscapes have been modified. Tidal hydrodynamics are a defining feature in tidal terminal channel ecosystems from which native aquatic communities have evolved. However, few studies have explored the relationship between fish community structure and hydrodynamics in these tidal terminal channel ecosystems. We sampled fish communities throughout a network of terminal channels within the northeasternmost region of the San Francisco Estuary to determine the relationship between fish community structure and hydrodynamics within these environments. We collected two years (2017 and 2018) of fish community samples using gill nets and analyzed data using multivariate community analyses and count models. We found metrics of fish diversity and counts of native fishes to be greatest upstream (farthest from tidal influence) of the tidal excursion within terminal channels. Counts of non-native fishes were less affected by this hydrodynamic feature of terminal channels and more tightly correlated to local habitat conditions (e.g., water temperature, depth). Our results suggest that channel hydrodynamics plays a role in structuring fish communities within terminal channels, particularly native fishes. These results indicate that hydrodynamics in tidal delta ecosystems may be able to be altered in ways that benefit native fishes without the cost of water pumping.