San Francisco Bay

Sea-level rise and coastal groundwater inundation and shoaling at select sites in California, USA

Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies (Elsevier) | January 5th, 2016

Study region: The study region spans coastal California, USA, and focuses on three primary sites: Arcata, Stinson Beach, and Malibu Lagoon. Study focus: 1m and 2m sea-

Study region: The study region spans coastal California, USA, and focuses on three primary sites: Arcata, Stinson Beach, and Malibu Lagoon. Study focus: 1m and 2m sea-level rise (SLR) projections were used to assess vulnerability to SLR-driven groundwater emergence and shoaling at select low-lying, coastal sites in California. Separate and combined inundation scenarios for SLR and groundwater emergence were developed using digital elevation models of study site topography and groundwater surfaces constructed from well data or published groundwater level contours. New hydrological insights for the region: SLR impacts are a serious concern in coastal California which has a long (∼1800km) and populous coastline. Information on the possible importance of SLR-driven groundwater inundation in California is limited. In this study,the potential for SLR-driven groundwater inundation at three sites (Arcata, Stinson Beach,and Malibu Lagoon) was investigated under 1m and 2m SLR scenarios. These sites provide insight into the vulnerability of Northern California coastal plains, coastal developments built on beach sand or sand spits, and developed areas around coastal lagoons associated with seasonal streams and berms. Northern California coastal plains with abundant shallow groundwater likely will see significant and widespread groundwater emergence, while impacts along the much drier central and southern California coast may be less severe due to the absence of shallow groundwater in many areas. Vulnerability analysis is hampered by the lack of data on shallow coastal aquifers, which commonly are not studied because they are not suitable for domestic or agricultural use. Shallow saline aquifers may be present in many areas along coastal California, which would dramatically increase vulnerability to SLR-driven groundwater emergence and shoaling. Improved understanding of the extent and response of California coastal aquifers to SLR will help in preparing for mitigation and adaptation.

Sea-Level Rise for the Coasts of California, Oregon, and Washington: Past, Present, and Future

National Academy of Sciences (NAS) | December 13th, 2012

Sea-level rise impacts on seawater intrusion in coastal aquifers: Review and integration

Journal of Hydrology (Elsevier) | February 6th, 2016

Sea-level rise (SLR) influences groundwater hydraulics and in particular seawater intrusion (SWI) in many coastal aquifers. The quantification of the combined and relativ

Sea-level rise (SLR) influences groundwater hydraulics and in particular seawater intrusion (SWI) in many coastal aquifers. The quantification of the combined and relative impacts of influential factors on SWI has not previously been considered in coastal aquifers. In the present study, a systematic review of the available literature on this topic is first provided. Then, the potential remaining challenges are scrutinized. Open questions on the effects of more realistic complexities such as gradual SLR, parameter uncertainties, and the associated influences in decision-making models are issues requiring further investigation. We assess and quantify the seawater toe location under the impacts of SLR in combination with recharge rate variations, land-surface inundation (LSI) due to SLR, aquifer bed slope variation, and changing landward boundary conditions (LWBCs). This is the first study to include all of these factors in a single analysis framework. Both analytical and numerical models are used for these sensitivity assessments. It is demonstrated that (1) LSI caused by SLR has a significant incremental impact on the seawater toe location, especially in the flatter coasts and the flux-controlled (FC) LWBCs, however this impact is less than the reported orders of magnitude differences which were estimated using only analytical solutions; (2) LWBCs significantly influence the SLR impacts under almost all conditions considered in this study; (3) The main controlling factors of seawater toe location are the magnitudes of fresh groundwater discharge to sea and recharge rate. Regional freshwater flux entering from the landward boundary and the groundwater hydraulic gradient are the major contributors of fresh groundwater discharge to sea for both FC and head-controlled (HC) systems, respectively; (4) A larger response of the aquifer and larger seawater toe location changes are demonstrable for a larger ratio of the aquifer thickness to the aquifer length particularly in the HC systems; (5) The lowest sensitivity of seawater toe location is found for the density difference ratio of the seawater and freshwater, and also for the aquifer bed slope; (6) The early-time observations show seawater fingers below the inundated lands due to SLR which are diminished and ultimately extinguished; and (7) A less than 2% reversal effect on the seawater toe location after overshoot mechanism is observed in the transient simulations which suggests that this mechanism is an insignificant and impractical factor compared to other more significant factors.

Seasonal non-tectonic loading inferred from GPS as a potential trigger for the M6.0 South Napa Earthquake

American Geophysical Union (AGU) | May 8th, 2018

It is well established that earthquakes occur on fault systems where stress has accumulated over periods of centuries to millennia. The specific factors that trigger indi

It is well established that earthquakes occur on fault systems where stress has accumulated over periods of centuries to millennia. The specific factors that trigger individual earthquakes are typically unknown, but researchers have recently found links between seasonal variations in earthquake occurrence and local changes in water storage and temperature. Using data from high-precision continuous GPS stations in Northern California, we observed a small 3 mm horizontal expansion of the Earth's crust prior to and in the vicinity of the August 2014 M6.0 South Napa earthquake. By analyzing the previous eight years of GPS data, we additionally found that a similar pattern of crustal motion repeats every summer. We have determined that this crustal expansion releases pressure on nearby faults, including those in the South Napa fault system, making them more likely to slip during the summer months. Large seasonal variability in the amount of groundwater in the Napa Valley and Sonoma subbasins may contribute to the observed changes.

Seasonality of Retreat Rate of a Wave-Exposed Marsh Edge

American Geophysical Union (AGU) | July 10th, 2024

Waves can cause destruction of marshlands when they collide with the boundary of the marsh area. We studied how the speed of marsh loss from waves can change between seas

Waves can cause destruction of marshlands when they collide with the boundary of the marsh area. We studied how the speed of marsh loss from waves can change between seasons with different climates. To do this we made five 3D models of a marsh in South San Francisco Bay over a single year and looked at their differences between summer/fall/winter/spring. We found fast marsh loss in the seasons where daily winds are common (spring/summer), and minor changes in seasons with storms but without daily winds (fall/winter). Across our entire marsh, we saw lots of variety in how much it was changing, including some addition (i.e., positive change) to the mudflats near the marsh in the fall/winter. When we compared the marsh loss over one year to what was lost between 2004 and 2019, the speeds were similar, so we believe our study period was similar to long‐term marsh dynamics. This work encourages incorporating different seasonal climates into expectations of how marshes evolve, and supports that we need to think about marshes and mudflats as connected in how they change over time.

SediMatch Factsheet

San Francisco Estuary Institute (SFEI) | June 1st, 2018

 SediMatch is a collaborative program of the San Francisco Bay Joint Venture (SFBJV), the San Francisco Bay Conservation and Development Commission (BCDC), the San Franc

 SediMatch is a collaborative program of the San Francisco Bay Joint Venture (SFBJV), the San Francisco Bay Conservation and Development Commission (BCDC), the San Francisco Estuary Institute (SFEI), the San Francisco Estuary Partnership (SFEP), and others to bring together the wetland habitat restoration, flood control, and dredging communities to discuss challenges and find mutually beneficial strategies to increase reuse of dredged sediment at habitat restoration sites. 

Sediment Lithology and Borehole Erosion Testing, American and Sacramento Rivers, California

U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) | July 9th, 2020

A field investigation intended to measure the potential for erosion of sediments beside the American and Sacramento Rivers near Sacramento, California, is described. The

A field investigation intended to measure the potential for erosion of sediments beside the American and Sacramento Rivers near Sacramento, California, is described. The study featured two primary components: (1) drilling and soil sampling to reveal lithology, down to depths matching the local river thalweg, where possible, and (2) borehole erosion tests (BETs) as described by Briaud and others (2017) at many of the same locations. The latter test involved drilling a vertical hole, measuring its diameter profile, inserting a hollow drilling rod to almost the bottom of the hole, and pumping fluid through the drilling rod at a known discharge for a chosen time interval. The hole was then resurveyed to establish an erosion rate (change in borehole radius divided by duration of flow event) as a function of depth, and the test was repeated. This test was performed with water as the erosive fluid at 12 locations, with 1 test repeated with drilling mud. Lithology holes were drilled at these same locations and an additional five locations. Drilling operations took place on river left and river right on the American River and river left (left bank, when looking downstream) on the Sacramento River.

Sediment Supply to San Francisco Bay, Water Years 1995 through 2016: Data, trends, and monitoring recommendations to support decisions about water quality, tidal wetlands, and resilience to sea level rise

San Francisco Estuary Institute (SFEI) | June 11th, 2018

Knowledge of the status and trends of sediment supply to San Francisco Bay is critically important for management decisions about dredging, marsh restoration, flood contr

Knowledge of the status and trends of sediment supply to San Francisco Bay is critically important for management decisions about dredging, marsh restoration, flood control, contaminants, water clarity (in relation to primary production), and sea level rise. Several site-specific studies of sediment supply to San Francisco Bay have been conducted, but no synthesis of recent studies is available. The purpose of this report is to synthesize the best available data and knowledge to answer a few of the key study questions related to sediment supply to the Bay (listed below). This synthesis report was prepared jointly by the Regional Monitoring Program for Water Quality in San Francisco Bay (RMP) and the U. S. Geological Survey (USGS) with funding from both organizations. The project is meant to be a step in the development of a more comprehensive sediment management and monitoring strategy for the Bay.

Sediment Supply to San Francisco Bay, Water Years 1995 through 2016: Data, trends, and monitoring recommendations to support decisions about water quality, tidal wetlands, and resilience to sea level rise

San Francisco Estuary Institute (SFEI) | June 11th, 2018

Knowledge of the status and trends of sediment supply to San Francisco Bay is critically important for management decisions about dredging, marsh restoration, flood contr

Knowledge of the status and trends of sediment supply to San Francisco Bay is critically important for management decisions about dredging, marsh restoration, flood control, contaminants, water clarity (in relation to primary production), and sea level rise. Several site-specific studies of sediment supply to San Francisco Bay have been conducted, but no synthesis of recent studies is available. The purpose of this report is to synthesize the best available data and knowledge to answer a few of the key study questions related to sediment supply to the Bay.  This synthesis report was prepared jointly by the Regional Monitoring Program for Water Quality in San Francisco Bay (RMP) and the U. S. Geological Survey (USGS) with funding from both organizations. The project is meant to be a step in the development of a more comprehensive sediment management and monitoring strategy for the Bay. 

Selenium in Muscle Plugs of White Sturgeon from North San Francisco Bay, 2015-2017

San Francisco Estuary Institute (SFEI) | February 1st, 2019

This report presents the findings from a study evaluating selenium concentrations in white sturgeon (Acipenser transmontanus) muscle tissues collected from live sturgeon

This report presents the findings from a study evaluating selenium concentrations in white sturgeon (Acipenser transmontanus) muscle tissues collected from live sturgeon during the California Department of Fish and Wildlife’s fall sturgeon tagging studies in North San Francisco Bay. The goal of this study was to non-lethally collect a large number of sturgeon muscle plugs and analyze them for selenium to (1) establish an understanding of current status, trends, and causes of variability in sturgeon muscle selenium concentrations; and (2) evaluate the potential for long-term sturgeon selenium monitoring with muscle plugs, through development of field and laboratory methods and informing the monitoring design. Monitoring of selenium in white sturgeon is needed to evaluate the effectiveness of the North Bay Selenium Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) in protecting sturgeon from selenium toxicity. This technical report provides documentation of the study and presents its major findings in the context of all historically available data on sturgeon muscle selenium concentrations in San Francisco Bay.