North Coast

Response of the upper ocean to northeast Pacific atmospheric rivers under climate change

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | October 19th, 2024

Click here for a plain language summary from the National Center for Atmospheric Research

Click here for a plain language summary from the National Center for Atmospheric Research

Responses and impacts of atmospheric rivers to climate change

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | March 9th, 2020

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are characterized by intense moisture transport, which, on landfall, produce precipitation which can be both beneficial and destructive. ARs in C

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are characterized by intense moisture transport, which, on landfall, produce precipitation which can be both beneficial and destructive. ARs in California, for example, are known to have ended drought conditions but also to have caused substantial socio-economic damage from landslides and flooding linked to extreme precipitation. Understanding how AR characteristics will respond to a warming climate is, therefore, vital to the resilience of communities affected by them, such as the western USA, Europe, East Asia and South Africa. In this Review, we use a theoretical framework to synthesize understanding of the dynamic and thermodynamic responses of ARs to anthropogenic warming and connect them to observed and projected changes and impacts revealed by observations and complex models. Evidence suggests that increased atmospheric moisture (governed by Clausius–Clapeyron scaling) will enhance the intensity of AR-related precipitation — and related hydrological extremes — but with changes that are ultimately linked to topographic barriers. However, due to their dependency on both weather and climate-scale processes, which themselves are often poorly constrained, projections are uncertain. To build confidence and improve resilience, future work must focus efforts on characterizing the multiscale development of ARs and in obtaining observations from understudied regions, including the West Pacific, South Pacific and South Atlantic.

Restoration pulse flows from a California dam temporarily increase drifting invertebrate biomass concentration

Journal of Environmental Management (Elsevier) | November 9th, 2022

The decline of Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.) populations over the last few decades has stimulated major restoration efforts across the Pacific Northwest to improve t

The decline of Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.) populations over the last few decades has stimulated major restoration efforts across the Pacific Northwest to improve the status of these iconic fishes. The leading factors contributing to the decline of Pacific salmon include watershed degradation and water diversions, which result in part from widespread dam construction across the United States (Moyle, 1994). Early river restoration actions primarily focused on physical habitat alterations (e.g., in-stream habitat improvement, fish passage; Barinaga, 1996; Bernhardt et al., 2005), while more recent work has centered around restoring natural processes (Johnson et al., 2019). Since socioeconomic and political complications are typically too great for dam removal projects to be feasible, reconciliation ecology, which encourages the accommodation of both human and wildlife needs in a human-dominated landscape, can be a more effective approach to restoration (Rosenzweig, 2003; Moyle et al., 2017). Rather than the elusive goal of returning rivers to a natural flow regime, the aim can be to attain functional environmental flows to support beneficial flow-ecology relationships (Poff et al., 2017). Dams can be operated to reduce some of their detrimental effects by releasing flows that improve downstream habitat through the preservation of key hydrologic signals upon which biophysical processes and native biological communities depend (Yarnell et al., 2020). Four functional flow components were identified for Mediterranean montane streams: wet-season initiation flows, peak magnitude flows, spring recession flows, and dry-season low flows; see Yarnell et al. (2015) for a description about the importance of each key functional component. Several studies have identified the need to further assess linkages between streamflow, invertebrate prey availability, and drift-foraging dynamics for consideration in future restoration plans for juvenile salmonids (Weber et al., 2014; Naman et al., 2016; Lusardi et al., 2018). The focus of this study is to assess the impact of dam-release flows imitating one of those functional flow components, peak magnitude flows, on invertebrate drift as a food resource for juvenile salmonids.

Rethinking Old Rights

Social Science Research Network (SSRN) | November 1st, 2023

Review of CDFW Recommendations for the 2022 Readoption of Drought Emergency Regulations on the Scott River and Recommendations for Future Management During Extreme Drought Conditions

Siskiyou Farm Bureau | August 31st, 2022

Reviving Central Valley Rivers

CALFED | June 1st, 2003

Ridging associated with drought in western and southwestern United States: characteristics, trends and predictability

American Meteorological Society (AMS) | April 1st, 2020

Persistent winter ridging events are a consistent feature of meteorological drought across the western and southwestern United States. In this study, a ridge detection al

Persistent winter ridging events are a consistent feature of meteorological drought across the western and southwestern United States. In this study, a ridge detection algorithm is developed and applied on daily geopotential height anomalies to track and quantify the diversity of individual ridge characteristics (e.g., position, frequency, magnitude, extent, and persistence). Three dominant ridge types are shown to play important, but differing, roles for influencing the location of landfalling atmospheric rivers (ARs), precipitation, and subsequently meteorological drought. For California, a combination of these ridge types is important for influencing precipitation deficits on daily through seasonal time scales, indicating the various pathways by which ridging can induce drought. Furthermore, both the frequency of ridge types and reduced AR activity are necessary features for explaining drought variability on seasonal time scales across the western and southwestern regions. The three ridge types are found to be associated in different ways with various remote drivers and modes of variability, highlighting possible sources of subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictability. A comparison between ridge types shows that anomalously large and persistent ridging events relate to different Rossby wave trains across the Pacific with different preferential upstream locations of tropical heating. For the “South-ridge” type, centered over the Southwest, a positive trend is found in both the frequency and persistence of these events across recent decades, likely contributing to observed regional drying. These results illustrate the utility of feature tracking for characterizing a wider range of ridging features that collectively influence precipitation deficits and drought.

Risks of ocean acidification in the California Current food web and fisheries: ecosystem model projections

Wiley | January 12th, 2017

The benefits and ecosystem services that humans derive from the oceans are threatened by numerous global change stressors, one of which is ocean acidification. Here, we d

The benefits and ecosystem services that humans derive from the oceans are threatened by numerous global change stressors, one of which is ocean acidification. Here, we describe the effects of ocean acidification on an upwelling system that already experiences inherently low pH conditions, the California Current. We used an end‐to‐end ecosystem model (Atlantis), forced by downscaled global climate models and informed by a meta‐analysis of the pH sensitivities of local taxa, to investigate the direct and indirect effects of future pH on biomass and fisheries revenues. Our model projects a 0.2‐unit drop in pH during the summer upwelling season from 2013 to 2063, which results in wide‐ranging magnitudes of effects across guilds and functional groups. The most dramatic direct effects of future pH may be expected on epibenthic invertebrates (crabs, shrimps, benthic grazers, benthic detritivores, bivalves), and strong indirect effects expected on some demersal fish, sharks, and epibenthic invertebrates (Dungeness crab) because they consume species known to be sensitive to changing pH. The model's pelagic community, including marine mammals and seabirds, was much less influenced by future pH. Some functional groups were less affected to changing pH in the model than might be expected from experimental studies in the empirical literature due to high population productivity (e.g., copepods, pteropods). Model results suggest strong effects of reduced pH on nearshore state‐managed invertebrate fisheries, but modest effects on the groundfish fishery because individual groundfish species exhibited diverse responses to changing pH. Our results provide a set of projections that generally support and build upon previous findings and set the stage for hypotheses to guide future modeling and experimental analysis on the effects of OA on marine ecosystems and fisheries.

River Floods Under Wetter Antecedent Conditions Deliver Coarser Sediment to the Coast

American Geophysical Union (AGU) | April 13th, 2025

Increasing hydrologic volatility—more extreme rain, and larger variations between wet and dry years—has become apparent in some regions, but few data exist to determi

Increasing hydrologic volatility—more extreme rain, and larger variations between wet and dry years—has become apparent in some regions, but few data exist to determine how intensifying hydrologic extremes affect sedimentary systems. Using uniquely high-resolution records of fluvial suspended sediment and coastal morphology, we quantify sedimentary responses from a steep, 357-km2 watershed in California under extreme wet and dry hydrologic conditions. In years with multiple 2- to 10-year floods, fluvial sediment coarsened significantly as the wet season progressed, with late-season floods delivering dominantly sand-sized material to the coast. Greater and coarser sediment supply under wetter antecedent conditions affected nearshore geomorphic evolution for 4–5 years. The watershed and coastal changes we documented point to an increasing role of sediment-related hazards (flooding and hillslope erosion) and resources (nearshore accretion) as wet seasons intensify.

Rivers of California

Pacific Gas & Electric Company (PG&E) | July 1st, 1962