North Coast

Final State Water Project Delivery Capability Report 2023

California Department of Water Resources (DWR) | July 31st, 2024

This Delivery Capability Report presents California Department of Water Resources (DWR) analysis of the State Water Project (SWP) system and provides important planning i

This Delivery Capability Report presents California Department of Water Resources (DWR) analysis of the State Water Project (SWP) system and provides important planning information for users of SWP water. The analysis provides information about how changing climate, regulatory, and operational considerations impact SWP delivery capability.

Fish die-offs are concurrent with thermal extremes in north temperate lakes

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | July 8th, 2019

As environmental temperatures continue to rise and organisms experience novel and potentially lethal conditions, the possibility of increased mass mortality events for an

As environmental temperatures continue to rise and organisms experience novel and potentially lethal conditions, the possibility of increased mass mortality events for animal populations appears likely. Yet, due to die-off rarity and unpredictability, there have been few large-scale attempts to quantify the relationship between mass die-offs and local environmental temperatures. Here, we address this issue by analysing a database of 502 freshwater fish die-offs combined with lake-specific temperature profiles simulated for north temperate lake ecosystems. Die-offs driven by extreme summer conditions occurred disproportionately in lakes with warmer average surface temperatures and during periods of extreme heat. In contrast, we observed no relationships between current thermal extremes and die-offs attributed to infectious disease or winter environmental conditions. We forecast fish die-offs driven by summer environmental conditions to double by mid-century for north temperate lakes (2041–2059) and to increase more than fourfold by late century (2081–2099), particularly at southern latitudes. These results expose a direct link between novel temperature regimes and the increased probability of catastrophic ecological events in freshwater ecosystems.

Fishes, Hydrology, and Ecology of the Klamath River Basin

National Academy of Sciences (NAS) | February 11th, 2008

The Klamath River basin in southern Oregon and northern California is the focus of a prominent conflict over competing uses for water in the American West. Management mea

The Klamath River basin in southern Oregon and northern California is the focus of a prominent conflict over competing uses for water in the American West. Management measures for the protection of threatened and endangered fish species in the basin that have left less water available for irrigation have increased tensions among farmers and other stakeholders and brought into question the scientific justification of these measures. Two National Research Council studies evaluate a series of federal scientific assessments and recommend scientifically justified approaches to the problem.

Flood Size Increases Nonlinearly Across the Western United States in Response to Lower Snow-Precipitation Ratios

American Geophysical Union (AGU) | December 20th, 2019

Many mountainous and high-latitude regions have experienced more precipitation as rain rather than snow due to warmer winter temperatures. Further decreases in the annual

Many mountainous and high-latitude regions have experienced more precipitation as rain rather than snow due to warmer winter temperatures. Further decreases in the annual snow fraction are projected under continued global warming, with potential impacts on flood risk. Here, we quantify the size of streamflow peaks in response to both seasonal and event-specific rain-fraction using stream gage observations from watersheds across the western United States. Across the study watersheds, the largest rainfall-driven streamflow peaks are >2.5 times the size of the largest snowmelt-driven peaks. Using a panel regression analysis of individual precipitation and snowmelt events, we show that the empirical streamflow response grows approximately exponentially as the liquid precipitation input increases, with rain-dominated runoff leading to proportionately larger streamflow increases than snowmelt or mixed rain-and-snow runoff. We find that the response to changes in rain percentage is largest in the wettest watersheds, where wet antecedent conditions are important for increasing runoff efficiency. Similarly, the effect of rain percentage is larger across watersheds in the Northwest and West regions compared to watersheds in the Northern Rockies and Southwest regions. Overall, as a higher percentage of precipitation falls as rain, increases in the size of rainfall-driven and “rain-on-snow”-driven floods have the potential to more than offset decreases in the size of snowmelt-driven floods.

Flood-MAR Research and Data Development Plan

California Department of Water Resources (DWR) | October 31st, 2019

The Research Advisory Committee (RAC) is pleased to make this plan available to the growing network of farmers, researchers, planners, and water and land managers who wan

The Research Advisory Committee (RAC) is pleased to make this plan available to the growing network of farmers, researchers, planners, and water and land managers who want to expand our collective knowledge about using floodwaters for managed aquifer recharge (Flood-MAR). This plan outlines the priority information needed by those making management decisions about the where, when, and how of capturing available flood water to replenish California’s depleted aquifers.

Floods in California

Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) | February 29th, 2024

Forests and Water in the Sierra Nevada: Sierra Nevada Watershed Ecosystem Enhancement Project

University of California, Merced (UC Merced) | November 21st, 2011

In this white paper on the Sierra Nevada Watershed Ecosystem Enhancement Project (SWEEP), we make the case that upstream management of Sierra Nevada forests can significa

In this white paper on the Sierra Nevada Watershed Ecosystem Enhancement Project (SWEEP), we make the case that upstream management of Sierra Nevada forests can significantly increase the value of downstream water resources by shifting water towards higher value uses and optimizing the timing of runoff. The focus of this paper is on the west-side mixed-conifer forests at elevations of about 1500-3600 m (5000-12,000 ft), which are highly productive owing to the availability of sufficient water, predominance of above-freezing temperatures and presence of other conditions necessary for growth.  California has a Mediterranean climate, with wet winters and dry summers. Precipitation falling as rain on Sierra Nevada forests enters the soil and is partitioned between evapotranspiration and runoff. Much of the rainfall leaves the forest as evapotranspiration, owing to ample water storage in the subsurface and temperatures that allow growth year round. At higher elevations, e.g. above elevations of 1800-2100 m depending on both latitude and microclimate, which are dominated by snow rather than rain, the snowpack provides an important seasonal storage of water that, together with subsurface-water storage, provides the water needed for forest growth over the summer and fall. Forest thinning to reduce vegetation and thus evapotranspiration will result in a higher fraction of precipitation, particularly snowmelt, leaving the mountain forest as runoff. Historically, the unique character of Sierra Nevada forests was defined by its tall trees, relatively mild climate and low forest density. In many areas, current forest densities are much higher than historical values. Forest thinning can also influence the timing of snowmelt and runoff. That is, a less-dense canopy can allow snow to reach the ground rather than be held in the canopy; and strategic spacing of forest openings will limit early season sunlight reaching the forest floor and retard snowmelt.  In this paper we review the forest hydrology literature relevant to management of conifer forests in the Sierra snow zone, as that management affects the timing and amount of snowmelt runoff. In order to understand the conceptual and practical challenges, we summarize the key elements of forest energy budget, with specific reference to the Sierra Nevada, and describe several relevant case studies. Although principles that govern the mountain water cycle are well known and models of water and energy balance are informed by field measurements in some areas, there is a severe knowledge gap that limits quantitative predictions of the effects of forest thinning on Sierra Nevada water and energy cycles. Nevertheless, generalizations from reviews of paired catchment studies carried out elsewhere suggest that Sierra Nevada conifer forests contain ecological attributes with a high potential for water-yield gains. Historical studies of forest harvesting in the Sierra Nevada have shown increases of between 14 and 34% in snow accumulation. Treatments that increase snow accumulation help increase water yield during low flows, when water resources’ economic and ecosystem values are highest.  Preliminary estimates based on average climate information suggest that in the Sierra Nevada, treatments that would reduce forest cover by 40% of maximum levels across a watershed could increase water yields by about 9%. Note that this white paper focused on forest management effects on the water balance. Impacts on wildlife habitat, forest health, and fire behavior were not analyzed. The projections and models reported here are designed to describe the potential for modifying water yield and timing. Before implementation of any strategy, a wider consideration of the consequences on forest structure and function would be necessary.  Because of the potential for water-yield increases and extended snow storage, the SWEEP project has developed a plan to evaluate forest thinning related to water yield in representative headwater catchments in the Sierra Nevada, as a basis for extending these treatments to broader areas of the Sierra Nevada. To that end, we outline an experiment that could be carried out in the Onion Creek Experimental Forest, Tahoe National Forest, Placer County, California that could test silvicultural treatments designed to modify the water balance of mixed-conifer, snow-dominated catchments. The treatments are based on a leaf area index (LAI) approach (O’Hara 1998) to forest management, which is well-suited to water yield and timing objectives. Our initial estimates are that treatments could increase water yield as much as 16% and extend snow storage, i.e. delay snowmelt, by days to weeks. 

Fourth National Climate Assessment Chapter 25: Southwest

U.S. Global Change Research Program | November 23rd, 2018

The Southwest region encompasses diverse ecosystems, cultures, and economies, reflecting a broad range of climateconditions, including the hottest and driest climate in t

The Southwest region encompasses diverse ecosystems, cultures, and economies, reflecting a broad range of climateconditions, including the hottest and driest climate in the United States. Arizona, California, Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, and Utah occupy one-fifth of U.S. land area, extending across globally unique ecosystems from the Sonoran Desert to the Sierra Nevada to the Pacific Coast. The region is home to 60 million people, with 9 out of 10 living in urban areas and the total population growing 30% faster than the national average. The Nation depends on the region for more than half of its specialty crops such as fruits, nuts, and vegetables. The Southwest also drives the U.S. technology sector, with more than 80% of the country’s technology capitalization located in California. Click here for all chapters of the Fourth National Climate Assessment.

Fourth National Climate Assessment Chapter 3: Water

U.S. Global Change Research Program | November 23rd, 2018

Significant changes in water quantity and quality are evident across the country. These changes, which are expected to persist, present an ongoing risk to coupled human

Significant changes in water quantity and quality are evident across the country. These changes, which are expected to persist, present an ongoing risk to coupled human and natural systems and related ecosystem services. Variable precipitation and rising temperature are intensifying droughts, increasing heavy downpours, and reducing snowpack. Reduced snow-to-rain ratios are leading to significant differences between the timing of water supply and demand. Groundwater depletion is exacerbating drought risk. Surface water quality is declining as water temperature increases and more frequent high-intensity rainfall events mobilize pollutants such as sediments and nutrients. Click here for the text of the full report.

Fragmented kelp forest canopies retain their ability to alter local seawater chemistry

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | July 20th, 2020

Kelp forests support some of the most productive and diverse ecosystems on Earth, and their ability to uptake dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) allows them to modify loca

Kelp forests support some of the most productive and diverse ecosystems on Earth, and their ability to uptake dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) allows them to modify local seawater chemistry, creating gradients in carbon, pH, and oxygen in their vicinity. By taking up both bicarbonate and CO2 as a carbon source for photosynthesis, kelp forests can act as carbon sinks, reducing nearby acidity and increasing dissolved oxygen; creating conditions conducive to calcification. Recent stressors, however, have reduced kelp forest canopies globally; converting once large and persistent forests to fragmented landscapes of small kelp patches. In a two-year study, we determined whether fragmented kelp patches retained the ability to alter local seawater chemistry. We found that diel fluctuations of multiple parameters of carbonate chemistry were greater in the kelp canopy than in the kelp benthos and in adjacent urchin barrens, consistent with metabolic activity by the kelp. Further, kelp fragments increased pH and aragonite saturation and decreased pCO 2 during the day to a similar degree as large, intact kelp forests. We conclude that small kelp patches could mitigate OA stress and serve as spatial and temporal refugia for canopy-dwelling organisms, though this effect is temporary and confined to daylight hours during the growing season.