Central Coast

Report of the State Engineer to the Legislature of the State of California - Session of 1881

State of California | January 3rd, 1880

Resistivity imaging reveals complex pattern of saltwater intrusion along Monterey coast

Journal of Hydrology (Elsevier) | February 22nd, 2017

A coastal region represents a dynamic zone where fresh groundwater in the coastal aquifers interacts with saline ocean water. The location of the freshwater-saltwater int

A coastal region represents a dynamic zone where fresh groundwater in the coastal aquifers interacts with saline ocean water. The location of the freshwater-saltwater interface is governed by the density and pressure differences on the two sides of the interface and the subsurface hydrologic properties that control fluid movement. Saltwater intrusion is the process in which this interface moves landward, with saltwater then occupying parts of the aquifer that were once fresh. While this process has been observed and documented throughout the world for over a century (Bear et al., 1999), climate change, growing water demands, and manipulation of natural hydrologic systems have led to saltwater intrusion being considered a significant threat to future freshwater resources globally (Kinzelbach et al., 2003; Barlow and Reichard, 2009; Werner et al., 2013). Saltwater intrusion can have a number of significant economic and environmental impacts, including diminished freshwater storage capacity, contamination of freshwater production wells, soil salinization, and decreased nutrient laden freshwater discharge to marine ecosystems (Johannes, 1980; Taniguchi et al., 2002; Werner et al., 2013). A number of steps can be taken to attempt to slow the rate of saltwater intrusion, including spatial and temporal changes in the extent of groundwater pumping, in landuse, in surface water diversions, and in artificial recharge (Abarca et al., 2006). What is needed however is a way to prioritize these actions, or combinations of actions, so as to optimize the impact on saltwater intrusion. This requires an accurate understanding of the current distribution of freshwater and saltwater, that can be used to predict future locations in response to these, and other, actions (Sanford and Pope, 2009). Saltwater intrusion is traditionally mapped and monitored using measurements made in wells and predictive flow models (Werner et al., 2013). There are a number of limitations with these methods. Measurements made in wells provide point data, which may fail to capture the spatial complexity in subsurface conditions. Improving spatial coverage with additional wells can be cost prohibitive (Ogilvy et al., 2009). Additionally, salinity measurements from wells can be flux-averaged concentrations, and head measurements in wells are affected by the density of the water column so can be misinterpreted in the presence of unknown salt water, and are susceptible to measurement, instrument, and time lag errors (Carrera et al., 2009; Post and Von Asmuth, 2013). Models are generally calibrated by matching historic head values in wells and/or matching salinity values from well samples (Carrera et al., 2009), thus all the limitations of well data are carried over into the model calibration. Given these limitations there is significant opportunity for additional methods of mapping and monitoring the distribution of saltwater in the subsurface for improved management of coastal aquifers.

Response of the upper ocean to northeast Pacific atmospheric rivers under climate change

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | October 19th, 2024

Click here for a plain language summary from the National Center for Atmospheric Research

Click here for a plain language summary from the National Center for Atmospheric Research

Responses and impacts of atmospheric rivers to climate change

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | March 9th, 2020

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are characterized by intense moisture transport, which, on landfall, produce precipitation which can be both beneficial and destructive. ARs in C

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are characterized by intense moisture transport, which, on landfall, produce precipitation which can be both beneficial and destructive. ARs in California, for example, are known to have ended drought conditions but also to have caused substantial socio-economic damage from landslides and flooding linked to extreme precipitation. Understanding how AR characteristics will respond to a warming climate is, therefore, vital to the resilience of communities affected by them, such as the western USA, Europe, East Asia and South Africa. In this Review, we use a theoretical framework to synthesize understanding of the dynamic and thermodynamic responses of ARs to anthropogenic warming and connect them to observed and projected changes and impacts revealed by observations and complex models. Evidence suggests that increased atmospheric moisture (governed by Clausius–Clapeyron scaling) will enhance the intensity of AR-related precipitation — and related hydrological extremes — but with changes that are ultimately linked to topographic barriers. However, due to their dependency on both weather and climate-scale processes, which themselves are often poorly constrained, projections are uncertain. To build confidence and improve resilience, future work must focus efforts on characterizing the multiscale development of ARs and in obtaining observations from understudied regions, including the West Pacific, South Pacific and South Atlantic.

Rethinking Old Rights

Social Science Research Network (SSRN) | November 1st, 2023

Ridging associated with drought in western and southwestern United States: characteristics, trends and predictability

American Meteorological Society (AMS) | April 1st, 2020

Persistent winter ridging events are a consistent feature of meteorological drought across the western and southwestern United States. In this study, a ridge detection al

Persistent winter ridging events are a consistent feature of meteorological drought across the western and southwestern United States. In this study, a ridge detection algorithm is developed and applied on daily geopotential height anomalies to track and quantify the diversity of individual ridge characteristics (e.g., position, frequency, magnitude, extent, and persistence). Three dominant ridge types are shown to play important, but differing, roles for influencing the location of landfalling atmospheric rivers (ARs), precipitation, and subsequently meteorological drought. For California, a combination of these ridge types is important for influencing precipitation deficits on daily through seasonal time scales, indicating the various pathways by which ridging can induce drought. Furthermore, both the frequency of ridge types and reduced AR activity are necessary features for explaining drought variability on seasonal time scales across the western and southwestern regions. The three ridge types are found to be associated in different ways with various remote drivers and modes of variability, highlighting possible sources of subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictability. A comparison between ridge types shows that anomalously large and persistent ridging events relate to different Rossby wave trains across the Pacific with different preferential upstream locations of tropical heating. For the “South-ridge” type, centered over the Southwest, a positive trend is found in both the frequency and persistence of these events across recent decades, likely contributing to observed regional drying. These results illustrate the utility of feature tracking for characterizing a wider range of ridging features that collectively influence precipitation deficits and drought.

Risk-Informed Future Climate Scenario Development for the State Water Project Delivery Capability Report

California Department of Water Resources (DWR) | August 24th, 2023

This report introduces and documents an extensive effort undertaken by the California Department of Water Resources (DWR) to develop risk-informed future climate scenario

This report introduces and documents an extensive effort undertaken by the California Department of Water Resources (DWR) to develop risk-informed future climate scenarios for the State Water Project (SWP) Delivery Capability Report (DCR), a report issued by the SWP every two years. These reports present DWR’s analysis of the SWP system and planning information for users of SWP water. The analysis provides information about how climate change, regulatory, and operational considerations affect SWP delivery capability. Specifically, the report must provide “…under a range of hydrologic conditions, the then existing overall delivery capability of the project facilities and the allocation of that capacity to each contractor. The range of hydrologic conditions shall include the historic extended dry cycle and long-term average.” (Settlement Agreement 2003).

Risks of ocean acidification in the California Current food web and fisheries: ecosystem model projections

Wiley | January 12th, 2017

The benefits and ecosystem services that humans derive from the oceans are threatened by numerous global change stressors, one of which is ocean acidification. Here, we d

The benefits and ecosystem services that humans derive from the oceans are threatened by numerous global change stressors, one of which is ocean acidification. Here, we describe the effects of ocean acidification on an upwelling system that already experiences inherently low pH conditions, the California Current. We used an end‐to‐end ecosystem model (Atlantis), forced by downscaled global climate models and informed by a meta‐analysis of the pH sensitivities of local taxa, to investigate the direct and indirect effects of future pH on biomass and fisheries revenues. Our model projects a 0.2‐unit drop in pH during the summer upwelling season from 2013 to 2063, which results in wide‐ranging magnitudes of effects across guilds and functional groups. The most dramatic direct effects of future pH may be expected on epibenthic invertebrates (crabs, shrimps, benthic grazers, benthic detritivores, bivalves), and strong indirect effects expected on some demersal fish, sharks, and epibenthic invertebrates (Dungeness crab) because they consume species known to be sensitive to changing pH. The model's pelagic community, including marine mammals and seabirds, was much less influenced by future pH. Some functional groups were less affected to changing pH in the model than might be expected from experimental studies in the empirical literature due to high population productivity (e.g., copepods, pteropods). Model results suggest strong effects of reduced pH on nearshore state‐managed invertebrate fisheries, but modest effects on the groundfish fishery because individual groundfish species exhibited diverse responses to changing pH. Our results provide a set of projections that generally support and build upon previous findings and set the stage for hypotheses to guide future modeling and experimental analysis on the effects of OA on marine ecosystems and fisheries.

River Floods Under Wetter Antecedent Conditions Deliver Coarser Sediment to the Coast

American Geophysical Union (AGU) | April 13th, 2025

Increasing hydrologic volatility—more extreme rain, and larger variations between wet and dry years—has become apparent in some regions, but few data exist to determi

Increasing hydrologic volatility—more extreme rain, and larger variations between wet and dry years—has become apparent in some regions, but few data exist to determine how intensifying hydrologic extremes affect sedimentary systems. Using uniquely high-resolution records of fluvial suspended sediment and coastal morphology, we quantify sedimentary responses from a steep, 357-km2 watershed in California under extreme wet and dry hydrologic conditions. In years with multiple 2- to 10-year floods, fluvial sediment coarsened significantly as the wet season progressed, with late-season floods delivering dominantly sand-sized material to the coast. Greater and coarser sediment supply under wetter antecedent conditions affected nearshore geomorphic evolution for 4–5 years. The watershed and coastal changes we documented point to an increasing role of sediment-related hazards (flooding and hillslope erosion) and resources (nearshore accretion) as wet seasons intensify.

Rivers of California

Pacific Gas & Electric Company (PG&E) | July 1st, 1962