Declines in Peak Snow Water Equivalent and Elevated Snowmelt Rates Following the 2020 Cameron Peak Wildfire in Northern Colorado

American Geophysical Union (AGU) | March 28th, 2023

The loss of tree canopy greatly increases the amount of solar energy that reaches the snow surface. Soot and debris from burned trees make the snow surface darker, result

The loss of tree canopy greatly increases the amount of solar energy that reaches the snow surface. Soot and debris from burned trees make the snow surface darker, resulting in more of this energy being absorbed. Late-season snow storms were able to temporarily counteract some of these effects by burying the darker snow surface. As more and more of the western United States is fire-impacted, it is essential to better understand and account for these impacts on this critical water reservoir for this region.

Declining Freshwater Availability in the Colorado River Basin Threatens Sustainability of Its Critical Groundwater Supplies

American Geophysical Union (AGU) | May 27th, 2025

Climate change is causing more frequent and intense droughts around the world, including in the Colorado River Basin, which supplies water to seven U.S. states and Mexico

Climate change is causing more frequent and intense droughts around the world, including in the Colorado River Basin, which supplies water to seven U.S. states and Mexico, and is facing severe water shortages. This study investigates how changes in water storage components (e.g., snow, surface water, soil moisture and groundwater) and water use are contributing to these shortages, and impacting agriculture and municipal water supplies, using data from the NASA GRACE and GRACE Follow-On (GRACE-FO) satellite missions, land surface models, and in situ data over the past two decades. Results show significant losses of groundwater: 7.8.0 ± 5.3 km3 in the Upper CRB (UCRB) and 25.5 ± 7.4 km3 in the Lower CRB (LCRB). Progress toward sustainable groundwater could be achieved by reducing groundwater extraction, in line with current rates of depletion (0.35 km3 in the UCRB and 1.15 km3 in the LCRB). This research highlights the importance of understanding the factors affecting groundwater levels to create sustainable water management strategies that can help secure water resources for the region's future.

Declining Groundwater Level Effects on Supply Well Operations

University of California, Davis (UC Davis) | December 1st, 2017

Pumping more from groundwater basins than they can sustainably supply decreases groundwater levels, often by undesirable amounts. Economic impacts from overdraft

Pumping more from groundwater basins than they can sustainably supply decreases groundwater levels, often by undesirable amounts. Economic impacts from overdraft and drought include increased costs for supplying water and lost revenue from inability to meet water demands. The combination of decreased groundwater level with existing well depth may limit well production as pumping costs increase and wells run dry. Declining groundwater elevations may also incur costs to move pumps deeper in the wells. Further falling groundwater elevation increases costs for production and maintenance, and decreases production capacity, as pumping levels drop into the screened intervals of wells and cause screen clogging and corrosion. In more extreme cases, well replacement costs may be incurred if groundwater drops so low that adequate submergence of pumps cannot be maintained, and wells become unusable. The potential impacts of decreasing groundwater elevation on supply well operations were evaluated for a study area in California’s Central Valley (greater vicinity of Tulare, CA). Well construction data from logs provided by the California Department of Water Resources (DWR) were characterized through statistical analysis of the elevations for the tops and bottoms of screened intervals. Groundwater elevation time series were obtained from the DWR Water Data Library. Estimated trends in well capacity loss were developed from estimates of the fraction of wells over time that had standing water levels (minus an estimated pumping drawdown) below 1) the top of the screened interval and 2) the bottom of the screened interval. The end result is a method for estimating the costs of water level declines over time from drought or groundwater overdraft due to effects on proper operation and pumping of wells. The conceptual approach, data, methods, and conclusions of this thesis draw from a research report funded by the California Department of Food and Agriculture (CDFA).

Declining groundwater storage expected to amplify mountain streamflow reductions in a warmer world

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | May 23rd, 2024

Groundwater interactions with mountain streams are often simplified in model projections, potentially leading to inaccurate estimates of streamflow response to climate ch

Groundwater interactions with mountain streams are often simplified in model projections, potentially leading to inaccurate estimates of streamflow response to climate change. Here, using a high-resolution, integrated hydrological model extending 400 m into the subsurface, we find groundwater an important and stable source of historical streamflow in a mountainous watershed of the Colorado River. In a warmer climate, increased forest water use is predicted to reduce groundwater recharge resulting in groundwater storage loss. Losses are expected to be most severe during dry years and cannot recover to historical levels even during simulated wet periods. Groundwater depletion substantially reduces annual streamflow with intermittent conditions predicted when precipitation is low. Expanding results across the region suggests groundwater declines will be highest in the Colorado Headwater and Gunnison basins. Our research highlights the tight coupling of vegetation and groundwater dynamics and that excluding explicit groundwater response to warming may underestimate future reductions in mountain streamflow.

Declining mountain snowpack in western North America

American Meteorological Society (AMS) | January 3rd, 2005

Mountain snowpack in western North America is a key component of the hydrologic cycle, storing water from the winter (when most precipitation falls) and releasi

Mountain snowpack in western North America is a key component of the hydrologic cycle, storing water from the winter (when most precipitation falls) and releasing it in spring and early summer, when economic, environmental, and recreational demands for water throughout the West are frequently greatest. In most river basins of the West, especially in Washington, Oregon, and California, snow (rather than man-made reservoirs) is the largest component of water storage; hence, the West is (to varying degrees) vulnerable to climatic variations and changes that influence spring snowpack.

Declining Reservoir Reliability and Increasing Reservoir Vulnerability: Long‐Term Observations Reveal Longer and More Severe Periods of Low Reservoir Storage for Major United States Reservoirs

American Geophysical Union (AGU) | August 22nd, 2024

Decoupling outmigration from marine survival indicates outsized influence of streamflow on cohort success for California’s Chinook salmon populations

Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences (Canadian Science Publishing) | October 17th, 2018

Historically, marine survival estimates for salmon have been confounded with freshwater seaward migration (outmigration) survival. Telemetry studies have revealed low and

Historically, marine survival estimates for salmon have been confounded with freshwater seaward migration (outmigration) survival. Telemetry studies have revealed low and variable survival during outmigration, suggesting marine mortality may not be the primary source of variability in cohort size as previously believed. Using a novel combination of tagging technologies, survival during these two life stages was decoupled over 5 years for Sacramento River Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha). Outmigration survival ranged from 2.6% to 17%, and marine survival ranged from 4.2% to 22.8%. Influential environmental drivers in both life stages were also compared with smolt-to-adult ratios (SAR) for three Chinook salmon populations over 20 years. Streamflow during outmigration had higher correlation with SAR (r2 > 0.34) than two marine productivity indices (r2 < 0.08). The few SAR estimates that were poorly predicted by flow occurred during years with the lowest marine productivity, suggesting most interannual SAR fluctuations are explained by outmigration survival, but abnormally poor marine conditions also reduce SAR. The outsized influence of flow on SAR provides managers with a powerful mitigation tool in a watershed where flow is tightly regulated.

DEDUCE: Delta Environmental Data for the Understanding of California Estuary Factsheet

San Francisco Estuary Institute (SFEI) | July 3rd, 2017

Deepening water scarcity in breadbasket nations

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | January 28th, 2025

Water is crucial for meeting sustainability targets, but its unsustainable use threatens human wellbeing and the environment. Past assessments of water scarcity (i.e., wa

Water is crucial for meeting sustainability targets, but its unsustainable use threatens human wellbeing and the environment. Past assessments of water scarcity (i.e., water demand in exceedance of availability) have often been spatially coarse and temporally limited, reducing their utility for targeting interventions. Here we perform a detailed monthly sub-basin assessment of the evolution of blue (i.e., surface and ground) water scarcity (years 1980-2015) for the world’s three most populous countries – China, India, and the USA. Disaggregating by specific crops and sectors, we find that blue water demand rose by 60% (China), 71% (India), and 27% (USA), dominated by irrigation for a few key crops (alfalfa, maize, rice, wheat). We also find that unsustainable demand during peak months of use has increased by 101% (China), 82% (India), and 49% (USA) and that 32% (China), 61% (India), and 27% (US) of sub-basins experience at least 4 months of scarcity. These findings demonstrate that rising water demands are disproportionately being met by water resources in already stressed regions and provide a basis for targeting potential solutions that better balance the water needs of humanity and nature.

Defining Snow Drought and Why It Matters

American Geophysical Union (AGU) | February 28th, 2017

On 12 February, water resource managers at the Oroville Dam issued an evacuation warning that forced some 180,000 Californians to relocate to higher ground. The story of

On 12 February, water resource managers at the Oroville Dam issued an evacuation warning that forced some 180,000 Californians to relocate to higher ground. The story of how conditions got to this point involves several factors, but two clearly stand out: the need to prevent water shortages during a record drought, followed by one of the wettest October–February periods in California history.