Leveraging Wetlands for a Better Climate Future

San Francisco Estuary Institute (SFEI) | July 15th, 2022

Managing Natural and Working Lands (NWL) to enhance carbon sinks and limit greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions is a key component of California’s ambitious strategy to achie

Managing Natural and Working Lands (NWL) to enhance carbon sinks and limit greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions is a key component of California’s ambitious strategy to achieve net carbon neutrality by 2045. The California Air Resources Board (CARB) Climate Change Scoping Plan includes 7 NWL categories in its GHG emission reduction scenarios, one of which is wetlands. Coastal wetlands in California are a high- leverage NWL type for GHG management relative to their small spatial footprint. These ecosystems have high rates of carbon sequestration and can accumulate large stocks of carbon, due to high productivity, efficient sediment trapping, and low decomposition rates (Chmura et al. 2003, Mcleod et al. 2011). In the absence of management interventions focused on wetland conservation, however, conversion of coastal wetlands to other land uses such as agriculture, grazing, development, impounded wetlands, or subtidal or upland habitat can halt or reverse carbon sequestration, and can shift these ecosystems from long-term GHG sinks to large GHG sources (Hatala et al. 2012, Tan et al. 2019). Filling of wetlands for infrastructure and development was a common practice throughout the early 20th century (Goals Project 1999), dramatically reducing the state’s coastal wetland area and associated carbon sink.

Light v. State Water Resources Control Board

Court of Appeals of California, First Appellate District | July 11th, 2014

Limiting fossil fuel production as the next big step in climate policy

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | November 26th, 2018

Despite the current ambivalence of the United States towards the Paris Agreement, national and local jurisdictions across the globe remain committed, and they are seeking

Despite the current ambivalence of the United States towards the Paris Agreement, national and local jurisdictions across the globe remain committed, and they are seeking ways to increase the ambition and effectiveness of their climate policies. One way forwards could be limiting the production — not just the consumption — of coal, gas and oil. Here we describe the rationale for, and CO2 emissions implications of, limiting oil production. Seven countries have recently imposed such limits, and we develop a case study for a potential addition to this group, the US state of California. We find that by ceasing the issuance of permits for new oil wells, California could reduce global CO2 emissions substantially and also enhance environmental justice in the state.

Linkage of In Vitro Assay Results With In Vivo End Points, Phases 1 and 2

San Francisco Estuary Institute (SFEI) | April 3rd, 2017

Our results clearly show that it is possible to establish linkages between the screening level in in vitro assays and higher order endpoints in fish that are infl

Our results clearly show that it is possible to establish linkages between the screening level in in vitro assays and higher order endpoints in fish that are influenced by estrogen, such as growth and gonadal sex differentiation (Table 1). As expected, the in vitro responses are the most sensitive endpoints tested and using them as a monitoring tool can provide a margin of safety for aquatic organisms that may be more sensitive to estrogenic chemicals than Menidia. Moreover, the margin of safety provided, represented by the ratio of in vivo to in vitro EC50s ranged from 0.9 to 9 for the potent estrogen E2 to 1.2 for E1 and 2.4 to 3.4 for NP (Table 1). There were no significant effects on growth, but merely trends, by any of the chemicals tested, suggesting that a higher “n” may be required to see appropriate effects on this endpoint. Using more concentrations for in vivo tests can refine these ratios.

Linkages between land-use change and groundwater management foster long-term resilience of water supply in California

Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies (Elsevier) | March 9th, 2022

Study Region: We created a 270-m coupled model of land-use and groundwater conditions, LUCAS-W[ater], for California’s Central Coast. This groundwater-dependent region

Study Region: We created a 270-m coupled model of land-use and groundwater conditions, LUCAS-W[ater], for California’s Central Coast. This groundwater-dependent region is undergoing a dramatic reorganization of groundwater management under California’s 2014 Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (SGMA). Study Focus: Understanding land-use and land-cover change supports long-term sustainable water management. Anthropogenic water demand has depleted groundwater aquifers worldwide, while future water shortages will likely affect land-use change, creating system feedbacks. Our novel participatory approach fused changes in land-use and associated water use from county-scale data to local water agencies’ estimates of total sustainable supply, scaling up local hydro-geologic knowledge from heterogeneous aquifers and diverse management approaches to a regional level. We assessed five stakeholder-driven scenarios with the same historic rates of urban and agricultural land-use change, but different water and land-use management, analyzing how management strategies altered both the spatial pattern of development and subsequent water sustainability from 2001 to 2061. New Hydrological Insights for the Region: Transformative strategies using demand-side interventions that coupled water availability to land use more effectively achieved long-term sustainability than adaptive strategies using supply-side interventions to increase water supplies. Limiting water withdrawals within SGMA regulated basins resulted in leakage of development into unregulated basins, increasing groundwater pumping there. Protecting ecosystems, farmlands, and recharge areas from development reduced leakage into undeveloped basins without negatively affecting water sustainability.

Linked fire activity and climate whiplash in California during the early Holocene

Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature) | November 23rd, 2022

Recent wildfire activity in semi-arid regions like western North America exceeds the range of historical records. High-resolution paleoclimate archives such as stalagmi

Recent wildfire activity in semi-arid regions like western North America exceeds the range of historical records. High-resolution paleoclimate archives such as stalagmites could illuminate the link between hydroclimate, vegetation change, and fire activity in pre-anthropogenic climate states beyond the timescale of existing tree-ring records. Here we present an analysis of levoglucosan, a combustion-sensitive anhydrosugar, and lignin oxidation products (LOPs) in a stalagmite, reconstructing fire activity and vegetation composition in the California Coast Range across the 8.2 kyr event. Elevated levoglucosan concentrations suggest increased fire activity while altered LOP compositions indicate a shift toward more woody vegetation during the event. These changes are concurrent with increased hydroclimate volatility as shown by carbon and calcium isotope proxies. Together, these records suggest that climate whiplash (oscillations between extreme wetness and aridity) and fire activity in California, both projected to increase with anthropogenic climate change, were tightly coupled during the early Holocene.

Linking river management to species conservation using dynamic landscape-scale models

River Research and Applications (Wiley) | March 23rd, 2012

Efforts to conserve stream and river biota could benefit from tools that allow managers to evaluate landscape-scale changes in species distributions in response to water

Efforts to conserve stream and river biota could benefit from tools that allow managers to evaluate landscape-scale changes in species distributions in response to water management decisions. We present a framework and methods for integrating hydrology, geographic context and metapopulation processes to simulate effects of changes in streamflow on fish occupancy dynamics across a landscape of interconnected stream segments. We illustrate this approach using a 482 km2 catchment in the southeastern US supporting 50 or more stream fish species. A spatially distributed, deterministic and physically based hydrologic model is used to simulate daily streamflow for sub-basins composing the catchment. We use geographic data to characterize stream segments with respect to channel size, confinement, position and connectedness within the stream network. Simulated streamflow dynamics are then applied to model fish metapopulation dynamics in stream segments, using hypothesized effects of streamflow magnitude and variability on population processes, conditioned by channel characteristics. The resulting time series simulate spatially explicit, annual changes in species occurrences or assemblage metrics (e.g. species richness) across the catchment as outcomes of management scenarios. Sensitivity analyses using alternative, plausible links between streamflow components and metapopulation processes, or allowing for alternative modes of fish dispersal, demonstrate large effects of ecological uncertainty on model outcomes and highlight needed research and monitoring. Nonetheless, with uncertainties explicitly acknowledged, dynamic, landscape-scale simulations may prove useful for quantitatively comparing river management alternatives with respect to species conservation.

Linking variation in water democracy to system performance on the human right to water

Springer Nature | October 8th, 2025

Liquid Assets: Improving Management of the State's Groundwater Resources

Legislative Analyst's Office (LAO) | March 24th, 2010

California’s water system is facing a series of challenges affecting water availability, reliability, and delivery. Reevaluating how groundwater is managed is necessary

California’s water system is facing a series of challenges affecting water availability, reliability, and delivery. Reevaluating how groundwater is managed is necessary if it is to achieve its full potential as a reliable source of water. In this report, we present the Legislature with a series of actions that would be phased in over a period of time to address current and emerging groundwater management issues, including bringing science and law together to accurately reflect the physical interconnection of surface water and groundwater.

Listen to the River: An Independent Review of the CVPIA Fisheries Program

U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (USBR) | December 12th, 2008

In 1992 Congress directed the Department of Interior to develop and implement a program that makes “all reasonable efforts” to ensure and sustain on a long-term basis

In 1992 Congress directed the Department of Interior to develop and implement a program that makes “all reasonable efforts” to ensure and sustain on a long-term basis a doubling of the number of naturally produced anadromous fish in Central Valley rivers and streams by 2002. Doubling did not happen by the legislative goal of 2002, or by 2008, nor is it likely to ever occur unless renewed commitments and improvements are made to the CVPIA program. The specific “doubling” mission itself may make little scientific or policy sense, especially within the time frames demanded. Yet it is also far from clear that the agencies have done what is possible and necessary to improve freshwater conditions to help these species weather environmental variability, halt their decline and begin rebuilding in a sustainable way. A number of the most serious impediments to survival and recovery are not being effectively addressed, especially in terms of the overall design and operation of the Central Valley Project system. Underlying this independent review of the CVPIA anadromous fish program, asked for by the federal agencies, is the question why the CVPIA program has not been successful in achieving its mission. In this report, we identify scientific, institutional and programmatic obstacles to the success of the CVPIA, drawing conclusions from the information provided. Based on these conclusions, we make recommendations to Reclamation and the Service on how these obstacles might be overcome.