Vegetation Responses to 2012–2016 Drought in Northern and Southern California

In this study, we investigated California vegetation responses to the recent prolonged 2012–2016 drought, which was potentially the driest 4‐year span in the last 1,200 years. The overall vegetation of the state has been presumed to be severely affected. However, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) satellite data related to vegetation greenness show that the large‐scale drought impacts on observable vegetation health were principally focused in Southern California regions, where the vegetation communities experienced striking declines in greenness. By contrast, some areas of Northern California have demonstrated significant NDVI increase and this difference in NDVI trends is evident over the past 19 years. The distinct vegetation behavior in Northern and Southern California seems to be related to a climatic dipole in the western United States, which is influenced by the large‐scale ocean‐atmosphere interactions. Some climate models predict an extension of such a dipole with greater precipitation in Northern California and less in Southern California by the end of the 21st century. Increased water demand in the south could intensify statewide intersectoral and interregional water competition in the future. However, increasing drought damage to wildlands and their terrestrial ecosystems in the south will not be relieved by any type of traditional water reallocation and irrigation effort.