Document Details

Old and Middle River Flow Review: USGS Gauge Readings versus Index Calculations for 2011 through 2017

California Department of Water Resources (DWR) | November 17th, 2017


This report will demonstrate the strong flow correlation between the United States Geological Survey gages at the Old and Middle Rivers (USGS OMR), and the OMR Index calculations, which have been used by the State Water Project and the Central Valley Project (the Projects) to operate to, and comply with, Old and Middle River (OMR) flow requirements. The results of the two different methodologies for determining OMR will be compared with daily, 5-day average, and 14-day average values, and will demonstrate a close correlation and tracking between the two methodologies. The time-span will be from December to June of the Water Years 2011 to 2017 and gives a background view and general effectiveness of using the OMR Index.

The difference between the methodologies is that the USGS OMR values are based on tidally filtered hourly flow values of Old and Middle Rivers near Bacon Island, whereas the Index methodology uses an empirical equation based on net flows into and out of the Southern Delta.

The USGS OMR flow values have been difficult for the Projects to operate to, in large part because the tidally filtering calculation is lagged by three days. What’s more, atmospheric conditions exert an unpredictable influence on OMR values and missing data introduces errors.

By contrast, the OMR Index is much easier to work with because the San Joaquin River at Vernalis (VNS) gage used in the OMR Index equation is located upstream of the Delta and is therefore not affected significantly by tidal effects or atmospheric conditions and has only a one-day delay in the OMR Index equation. Using prior day flows from the VNS gage allows the Projects’ operations to be more predictable since current day exports can be closely controlled.

Through regression analysis and empirical graphs, this report will show that the OMR Index method produces results that are closely correlated with values from the USGS OMR. And since the Index method can be used to closely approximate the USGS OMR flow values over an averaging period, the Index method is a satisfactory alternative to using the lagged USGS OMR flow data for real-time operations.

Keywords

Central Valley Project (CVP), flows, Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta, State Water Project (SWP), water project operations